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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group
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To: JohnM who wrote (30921)5/27/2002 11:51:13 PM
From: paul_philp  Read Replies (4) of 281500
 
John,

Public hearings or no public hearings, the only possibility for improvement is leadership.


rather than their success being accounted for by their superior tactics, it was that they were simply less inept that American intelligence.


I think that this is only so obvious in retrospect. The real brilliance of Bin Laden was that he played the game at a higher level than the US could imagine. The Japenese up the game at Pearl Harbor. Regean upped the game by understanding the superior US economic advantage over the USSR. The failure of Viet Nam for the American refusal to up the game but instead playing the Viet Cong game.

I remember an interview with Tom Clancy on 9/11 where he said that what had happened was beyond his imagination. The US intelligence agencies did not have the mindset needed to interpret the data. The problem with these sorts of paradigm shifts is that you cannot imagine life before the shift. We look back on data from August and earlier and it seems obvious. However, I promise that the US public last august was not prepard to pay the real price to be able to correlate and understand the data. I don't think they are today.

Mindsets change hard and we have far to go still.

Happy Memorial Day to all my American friends.

Paul
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