From Arch Crawford:
June 03, 2002 Vol. 06/02
ARMAGEDDON?!
Some of the Most Powerful
astronomic combinations in ALL OF
RECORDED HISTORY will be culminating
over the next Three Weeks! The party will
begin in earnest with the depressive effect of
Saturn conjunct the Moon’s Node (mourners
attending a funeral - Ebertin) on June 6. The
BIG DAY is the SOLAR ECLIPSE on the
evening of June 10, conjuncting Saturn and the
Node (and Uranian Hades for good measure),
and opposing Pluto. For the U. S. East Coast,
the period from 7pm to 8:30pm EDT includes
contact by these forces to the
Ascendant/Descendant axis (horizon) for New
York/Washington.
If you are EVER going to pay
attention to the “Gloom & Doomers” and
“Chicken Littles” of the world, this might be a
good time to start taking them seriously. Some
who have been WRONG for 20-30-40 years
may turn out to be RIGHT during this time
period. They say: “Even a stopped watch is
right twice a day.” From the looks of the skies,
it appears that the “minute hand” is fast
approaching the point where their clocks are
stopped! When it gets there, this month,
you had BEST be PREPARED.
In military training, we were
taught to “Keep a low profile, Shoot first &
ask questions later, and Cover you A_ _.”
Those basics have served us well in
markets in addition. This is not a time to
live in fear. This is Not a time to live in
Hope. It is a time to take drastic and
immediate defensive postures in markets,
and in life! If you are not willing to Sell
Investments, at least call your broker and
give them points at which a Sell Order
becomes effective (STOPLOSS Orders).
The purpose is to STOP LOSSES at some
predetermined point, hopefully
predetermined while one is in a relatively
rational state of mind.
Before this is all over, there
will be few indeed retaining a Rational
State of Mind Remember: “The
prudent man forseeth the evil and
hideth himself; but the simple pass on,
and are punished.”
My cousin, Arch Hicks, is a
better regular astrologer than I (as is my
wife Carolyn, who had her own local TV
show in the Detroit area years ago). I was
very negative on the Grand Cross Eclipse
of Aug. 11, 1999. Cousin Arch warned that
the effect might not be as bad right away,
but might require a “triggering mechanism”
at a later date. He was correct, as the day
Saturn triggered the Uranus in that chart
was the TOP DAY EVER of the S&P500
and the NDX(100). The DJIA topped on
Jan 14, and the NASDAQ on March 10
(2000). As Saturn successively activated
the Mars, Saturn & Eclipse point of that 1999
event, we encountered a series of Extreme
down days, and the exact low day of the first
leg down (Apr 24, 2000).
In this Current Case, Saturn will
“trigger” the Eclipse point by conjunction on
June 20th – NO WAITING!! Therefore – we
are very serious in our warnings, particularly
for the period June 6-28. Best to figure at
least a temporary low for July 7-14, perhaps a
summer rally, then a retest of the lows which
MUST prove the ability to hold, or markets
will suffer a further tumble in the Fall.
We wrote this on page 3 last
month. This month, it is deserving of
page ONE: “IN OTHER WORDS, WE
ARE RIGHT BACK TO THE
CONDITIONS OF SEPT. 4, 2001! The
S&P500 price must rally back to 1177 (new
rally high) to reinstate its “uptrend” status.
Other Major Points: Valuations remain
unrealistically high, Funds Cash low,
Insiders Selling 5 to 1, Sentiment =
Complacent, Astro-cycles extremely
negative, Major Indices below Moving
Averages, VIX & VXN breaking up thru
resistance, Oversold Markets
Unresponsive to indicator levels, Patterns
forming major tops, Scary Tape Action,
Dollar weak, GOLD strong, Corporate
officials leaving office, Political
Brinkmanship, growing Fear levels
worldwide.”
Commentators are comparing
current Pakistan/India military confrontation
with the Cuban Missile Crisis! Recall that
the market Crashed BEFORE the crisis, and
that retest did not break the June 26’62 lows.
BOUNCE ATTEMPTS FAIL, MARKET SLIPPAGE CONTINUES!
As a general rule, these indicators are positive when low and rising, weak when high and falling.
Chart (1) $TRIN is an oscillator consisting of a 55-day moving average of the ARMS Index (TRIN) minus a 21-day
moving average of the same. This oscillator is now breaking the pattern of Higher Highs AND Lower Lows, first with a higher
low, and now with a probable lower high. If it slips below the recent higher low, the market will accelerate immediately into a
Capitulation Phase!
Chart (2) $$ADCL is a 10-day moving average of the net change in Advances-Declines (NYSE). After demonstrating an
ability to remain consistently near the range highs, and looping higher in a probably exhaustive maneuver, it appears that an
important top may be in place, now confirmed by a break below several recent lows just under the Zero line. Plenty of room
underneath for a major Down Spike!
Chart (3) $$SPRY is a measure of "smart money" action in the S&P futures. The pattern of rising bottoms in the extreme
low range is encouraging, and the September 21 bottom, without breaking lower, has extended that positive pattern. This last rally
failed at a lower level , and that leaves this pattern with great vulnerability. We would still prefer (and expect) to see a Washout to
the lower range of previous lows and would be more comfortable with a more extensive base pattern. This one has room to
bounce, but no mandate to do so.
Chart (4) $TICK is Closing TICK (NYSE 10-Day). This index was the first to rebound to sharp “new highs” after a
“Moderate Oversold” condition in October, 2000. They have never gone lower, nor even penetrated into the negative range since
then, despite extremely bad markets over extended periods. The ability to hold within a long term rising pattern, while markets
have been floundering is a very likely sign that Wall Street, or possibly our government is attempting to make the market look
better on the last trade of most days!! (There is some concern that this indicator, as well as TRIN, could be more easily
manipulated by trading in 1 cent increments.) This recent action is the worst we have seen in some time, as the momentum
continues to Roll Over, but no decisive breakdown.
The chart on page 1 shows the ARMS (TRIN) Index at its highest level Ever. Normally, this would be considered a
strong BUY area. However, it appears that it is accelerating upside, indicating that a sharply declining Capitulation Phase is fast
approaching! We believe that a washout low is likely around the Solar Eclipse (June 10) or just after the Lunar Eclipse (June 24).
3
HIGHLY TRANSFORMATIONAL
CHART OF THE JUNE 10 SOLAR
ECLIPSE!
We could call this a DOOMSDAY
chart, but that’s only because humankind does
not appreciate spiritual change. In fact, we Fear
Change! When energy shifts within the Space-
Time Continuum, it becomes necessary for us to
trim our sails in accordance, in order to continue
our own spiritual journey. Those who make the
shift in tune with the flow are not required to
suffer undue consequences. We are, however,
creatures of habit, and are not always awake to
changes headed our way. So, when the
headwinds come upon us, many who have failed
to adjust, receive a battering from the turmoil of
cross currents. Our suffering comes, not from
change itself, but from holding on too long to
ways that served us in the past!
Here comes enough transformational
change to throw the majority of us slothful
creatures into a state of high agitation! First,
Solar Eclipses inculcate some of the greatest
power surges that we are accustomed to on a
regular basis. Second, the Moon’s Node,
Saturn, Sun, Moon and Hades are contained in 3
degrees, 10 minutes of arc, an unusual amount
of compaction, and all opposed by Pluto, the very symbol of deep, psycho-spiritual transformation. Not always easy, by the way!
Third, Pluto, the focal antithesis, is in half-aspect (75 deg) to the Midheaven (immediate overhead) at New York during the time of
the Eclipse. In meantime, Uranus, symbol of sudden, unexpected shock (can be insight, inspiration or the more physical “struck by
lightning”) forming the half-aspects, 75 deg to Pluto and 105 deg to Saturn (in the Apparent Right Ascension chart only – not
shown) in the few days prior.
The greatest point of tension will be between 7pm and 8:30pm EDT on June 10. We would give or take 3 days for the
maximum of energy to be actually felt in physical realms. A strong secondary hit will occur when Saturn reaches the Solar Eclipse
point on June 20 +/- one day. Ebertin in The Combination of Stellar Influences characterizes a combo of these 3 as “A sudden act
of violence” and “A person unafraid of danger”
The complexity of this configuration calls for an extreme energy spike during this frame. That can produce effects in
Weather, Earth Changes, Psychological, Political and Economic dynamical systems. In the Macro-world, it’s the kind of thing one
can do little or nothing about. Personally, it is recommended that one take maximum precautions within your sphere of influence
in all these areas. In these situations, there is nothing equal to prayer and meditation, and a willingness to accept direction from
ones higher inner self to assist the assimilation of the unaccustomed overload. – Blessings!
In Markets: If there is a sharp decline, a good strategy as we near this date, enter BUY orders above the market price
(preferably by two technical resistance levels, instead of one, to avoid high volatility whip-saws) of whatever you are short, or
whatever you may want to Buy Long. Then lower the Buy Stop as your market declines. That will put you IN the market during a
dramatic shakeout and whipsaw, hopefully very close to a washout low. Until then, we are retaining our negative market positions
as 200% Short using full margin to take advantage of the probable debilitating decline into this devastating vortex.
NEW MOON ECLIPSE JUNE 10, 2002
Koch
True Node 7:46 pm
New York
Crawford Perspectives is published 12 times per year. Sources of information are believed reliable, but are in no way guaranteed. Opinions and
recommendations are given with the understanding that our sophisticated investors are aware of the risks involved. Crawford Perspectives is written
and published by Arch Crawford. ã 2000 Arch Crawford. All Rights Reserved.
CRAWFORD PERSPECTIVES 6890 E. Sunrise Drive, Suite 120-70, Tucson, AZ 85750-0840 Tel. (520) 577-1158 FAX (520) 577-1110
GOLD and the XAU Index are
testing their highs of Sep-Oct, 1999.
Normally, traders would Sell Short against
a long term high, and BUY if it Bulls
through! With all this turmoil in the sky,
we lean towards the Bull case! It may rest
here a few days, but we doubt it will take
long. STAY LONG!! Again, the
exception is the very short term trading
account. Momentum is slowing, and a
nimble one might take some money out on
the short side. We’re not going to try it!
SILVER is also beginning to SHINE more
brightly +15.7% since April 16! Also a
BUY & HOLD! The word is now that the
Smart Money is Buying GOLD, but the
Smartest Money is buying SILVER! That
includes Gates & Buffet.
Other than the Metals, Non-U.S.
Currencies have been the steadiest gainers
(against the US$). Very Long Term charts
indicate that the Dollar has a long way to go on the Downside. Therefore our admonition to buy BONDS of at least 3 other
countries, especially those with strong assets in the ground, such as Australia, NZ, Canada, South Africa and Russia. Their Stock
Markets have been strong of late, as well.
Among the agriculturals, Soybean Complex are the strongest leaders, followed by Cocoa and Sugar. Last month, we
said: “COPPER looks very toppy, and that is bad news for our economy as it is a precursor”, yet, it has continued in its sidewise
consolidation = to be determined. The CRB Index has also been a steady gainer, holding above 200 for several weeks now. We
feel strongly that Commodities Generally will move higher while stocks lose much value. Buy commods!!
ASTRONOMIC ACTIVITY
MAY 25-26 Saturn opposes Pluto, Full Moon = Weekend news of an upsetting nature.
MAY 31 = Saturn opposes Pluto in R.A., Jupiter 150 to Pluto = Bankruptcies, may be more WAR!
JUN 2 = Uranus stationary Retrograde = Sudden, unnerving revelations may effect stocks, bonds, gold, oil!
JUN 6-7 = Sun opposes Pluto = Coercion, Use of Force. Saturn conjoins Moon’s Node = Grieving, great sadness.
JUN 8 = Mercury goes Direct = the fog begins to lift on mental processes. Action in the works!
JUN 10 = SOLAR ECLIPSE conjoins Saturn & Moon’s Node in opposition to Pluto, Uranus in Half-aspects to the Lot!
WE EXPECT THIS PERIOD TO BE THE MOST SIGNIFICANT OF THE DECADE, AT LEAST! CAUTION!!!
JUN 12 = Occultation of Mars by the Moon = “Hotheaded, dramatic and tearful” – Mountain Astrologer
JUN 18 = Four inter-planet aspects, unrelated to each other = A flurry of dramatic but unfocused activity.
JUN 20 = SATURN exact CONJUNCTION to SOLAR ECLIPSE POINT = Secondary Peak in dangerous tensions!
JUN 21 = Summer Solstice, Mars quincunx (150) to Pluto = One More of this angry, hostile, explosive continuing series.
JUN 22-23 = More hostilities this weekend. Uranus parallel Pluto, Sun parallel Mars = Markets usually decline into this.
JUL 3-4 = MORE DANGER! Moon’s Node conjunct Pluto, Saturn conjunct Uranian Hades = NO END TO DEATH!
JULY 7-14 More planets in Water ruled signs, often an indicant of maximum emotional expenditure, market Lows?!
DELL = DELL Horoscope Mag.; AAD = American Astrology Digest; MtnAstr = Mountain Astrologer
ATTENTION: The letters are usually mailed 1st Monday. Next month, we will await Technical confirmations!
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