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Technology Stocks : Intel Corporation (INTC)
INTC 37.20-0.8%11:25 AM EST

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To: Ali Chen who wrote (165757)6/4/2002 6:06:51 PM
From: BelowTheCrowd  Read Replies (1) of 186894
 
Yeah, but from 1969 to 1980 the SP500 basically did nothing at all. That makes your assumption of 12% "regular growth" somewhat suspicious.

People with a longer term horizon would say that some of the growth in the SP500 during the 80s and 90s was partially making up for an almost complete lack of growth for more than a decade before, and that the true long-term trend might be better expressed by looking at 1969-1994, for example. In that 25 year period the SP500 grew approximately 450% -- a little better than a 6% compounded return!

What numbers would you get if you assumed THAT to be the "real" trendline? Not saying I necessarily believe it, but I find your assumptions somewhat arbitrary.

mg
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