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Strategies & Market Trends : Z PORTFOLIO

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To: DanZ who wrote (7543)6/5/2002 7:48:39 AM
From: Ron McKinnon  Read Replies (1) of 11568
 
I think it is just great that we can have this kind of a discussion
even if many of the comments are hard to take
without nasty personal attacks like one sees on so many threads

comments from "both sides" make a lot of sense
but overall the trades done here of late have not been positive

many of the stocks in this portfolio are decent companies that will recover over 6 months to 3 years
and it does make sense to have a small % of the equity in them; maybe 2-5%, but not 5-10%

and lets be honest, some are just dogs that make ne sense to hold at all other than as a pure crap shoot

my comments:

anad
ok to hold small, sell half

aol
ditto, I sold my half yesterday

aye
fine but lighten up sell 500

ba
ok

cien
ok, maybe, but will take a looong time to get back even

cnc
sell half

cpn
ok

csco
ok

glw
same as cien

gnss
ok

gumm
this was bought about three years ago in the low teens?
seems ok but why not swing trade it instead of holding and tying up 10% of funds?

intv
a dog but fine as a 1% spec play

jdsu
same as glw and cien but but $100k is way too big a bet

km
in bankruptcy; a waste of investment; if one can't admit this was a huge mistake and dump it all then at least cut to 10k shares, hold it for 5 years, and pray

len
after a monster 2 year run the sector topped; real hard to say if it will recover to new highs; a stop is needed

luv
ok

nuan
cut to 4000 shares max

orcl
same as cien glw jdsu
sell half

pmtr
see km

qqq
ok

rei
put in 2 stops, half each, to protect the great gains

soss
an ok spec bet

spwx
sell 2000, hold 1000 for a few years on spec

tfs
ok with a hard stop

an overview comment, there is $220k in basically the same stuff, ie, cien csco glw jdsu orcl; that's about 20-25% of the portfolio

I would bet that the performance of the QQQ or any one of many sector funds or a "holder product" will mirror that basket of stocks with at least a 80-90% correlation which would be a somewhat safer bet and a lot easier to monitor and swing trade
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