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Gold/Mining/Energy : NORTHGATE EXPL (NGX.TO)

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To: russet who wrote (30)6/7/2002 4:21:09 AM
From: peter snowdon   of 158
 
There is no way you lose money, unless the bullion banks stop lending you gold, which would force you to buy gold with cash.

that's how i see it too. you can lose accounting money you never had by forfeiting exposure to a sudden rise in POG. but you can't lose real money, if you are producing for less than you write the calls for.

the major risk in normal (non-Ashanti-type) hedging is not directly related to POG, but is counterparty risk. i think there may be reasons for some companies to take that seriously, but NGX is not one of them.

my only concern with the calls was how much short-term cash flow NGX might lose if POG were to suddenly spike higher.

still, whatever happens, we still have all that unhedged copper...:-)

peter "a dollar a pound" snowdon
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