SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Strategies & Market Trends : Stock Attack II - A Complete Analysis
 Public ReplyPrvt ReplyMark as Last ReadFilePrevious 10Next 10PreviousNext  
To: Nancy who wrote (36894)6/7/2002 5:10:16 PM
From: Lee Lichterman III  Read Replies (2) of 52237
 
Well maybe I am remembering wrong. I just ran through my long term charts on the DOW and started doing some counting quickly so I may be slightly off.

I came up with

5 weeks in 98

9 weeks in 97

19 weeks in 94 (Weird Year)

10 -14 in 90 depends on how you count as it bounced along the bottom for 4 weeks before climb then retest 10 weeks after last low

6 weeks in 87
6 weeks in 84
8 weeks in 82
9 weeks in 74
17 weeks in 62
33 weeks in 33 -g-
28 weeks in 79

a strange 15 week cycle of three humps during 1988
we are about 37 weeks in this cycle so far on the DOW

The 1930s and 40s were strange in that they had some wild cycle swings but never really got anywhere but each bottom was quite a ways off with some lasting a year in between. I didn't have time to disect them to break them up into smaller bull and bear markerts within that long range. I just saw the obvious one in 1933 and threw it in here.

It seems like the longer the range between bottoms, the more questionable the bounces are and the more bottoms you can expect before finally breaking out as you notice the 1930s, 40s and 70s bear markets which had longer duration cycles. If I had time, this might be worthy of more study as the longer the bottoms are apart, it seems to be implying the longer you can expect to be stuck in a trading range of mini bulls and mini bears. Hmmmmmm

Good Luck,

Lee
Report TOU ViolationShare This Post
 Public ReplyPrvt ReplyMark as Last ReadFilePrevious 10Next 10PreviousNext  

HomeMailHotSubjectMarksPeopleMarksKeepersSettings
Terms Of UseContact UsCopyright/IP PolicyPrivacy PolicyAbout UsFAQAdvertise on SI
© 2025 Knight Sac Media.  Data provided by Twelve Data, Alpha Vantage, and CityFALCON News