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Politics : Stockman Scott's Political Debate Porch

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To: Teresa Lo who wrote (344)6/11/2002 9:52:30 AM
From: Jim Willie CB  Read Replies (2) of 89467
 
Teresa, you assume Barrick will survive its hedgebook

check out details on their disastrous hedgebook
gold-eagle.com

it has lost $400M in a single quarter, with more to come
they have lied to shareholders all along
they claim the forward sales are rollable indefinitely
but apparently they got a margin call
all cash has been pulled from cash mgmt bond fund internally
their claims of "taking advantage of spot price" is pure deceptive spin that many have accepted as positive
analysts in ABX concall in midMay went hard on Barrick mgmt

if gold approaches #400, Barrick will probably blow up

Barrick is hard to describe as a gold miner
they are more like an owner of mines, who have sold forward to such an extent that their entire survival was committed to a perpetually declining gold price
they have approx 4 years of forward production sold
for each $10 upmove in POG, their books drop $125M

unless they conduct a conman secondary issuance to triple their equity float, use the entire money to purchase back forward futures contracts and naked put contracts, they might not survive much past early next year
/ jim
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