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Strategies & Market Trends : Bob Brinker: Market Savant & Radio Host
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To: sat2000 who wrote (16078)6/12/2002 5:10:32 PM
From: Math Junkie  Read Replies (1) of 42834
 
It's certainly true that there are not enough complete cycles to draw a definitive conclusion, which emphasizes the need to evaluate each call on its own merits, doing a sanity check to see if it makes logical sense, attempting to quantify the consequences of being wrong, and considering commentary from other sources.

I don't see the 1987-90 scenario as a realistic expectation for risk going forward. I believe that Brinker's distaste for selling into weakness would make it unlikely to happen again, and I suspect that 1987 had a lot to do with his adopting that policy.
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