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Strategies & Market Trends : Booms, Busts, and Recoveries

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To: smolejv@gmx.net who wrote (19888)6/16/2002 11:46:38 AM
From: AC Flyer  Read Replies (2) of 74559
 
DJ:

You see inflation because you live in the (Euro)land of negative productivity. US manufacturing labor productivity in 1Q '02 was (+)8.6%, which leaves plenty of room for the robust growth in real incomes that the US economy is experiencing, plus falling prices for manufactured goods.

Falling stock prices for last four weeks in the face of good economic news are totally irrational. We now have irrational despondence.

The big surprise of the next couple of years will be flat to falling interest rates in the face of strong US GDP growth. The Chicken Littles have it dead wrong, just as the lemmings had it dead wrong in late '99. We are at, right now, a very significant buying opportunity for US equities.

Dow 14,000 and Nasdaq 3,000 by 12/03.
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