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Strategies & Market Trends : Zeev's Turnips - No Politics

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To: Zeev Hed who wrote (81008)6/18/2002 8:46:52 PM
From: t2  Read Replies (2) of 99280
 
Zeev, Can you or anyone else explain how a falling dollar would be bad for stocks?

Bonds and even cash in dollars loses value. Stocks as well but they also benefit from the weaker currencies..and therefore there should be relative outperformance of equities over bonds.

If it is a question of funds leaving the US, one would think that most European/Asian funds are sitting in US government bonds..yet there is no selloff in this group.

I can understand how a weaker dollar would hurt the small caps but the large caps should be rallying in such an environment as investors bail out of bonds and put funds into stocks as their value is not as strongly linked to currency..and gain from better competitive position.

We see so often how Japanese exporters gain as the YEN goes down...so I don't see why US stocks won't just a little a bit like this. I realize the situations are not the same but would there not be at least some similarity. Most Dow names are multinationals.
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