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Technology Stocks : athm - at home corporation
ATHM 24.25+1.6%Dec 12 9:30 AM EST

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To: Eleleth who wrote (70)7/15/1997 7:42:00 AM
From: Gary105   of 94
 
They must do an average of 10,000 subscribers/wk over the next year to justify current valuations. Given my earlier prediction of possible triple over 4 years (see below) they must do:
0.5 million subscribers - 1 st year
1 million total subscribers - 2nd year
2 million - 3rd year
3 - 4 million tot subscribers - 4th year.

techstocks.com

Potential flaw -their association with netscape instead of microsoft.
Why? Because despite the bandwidth benefit, most internet consumers are price sensitive. My guess is 1 - 2 million consumers will jump at
this opportunity (techies, yuppies, wealthies). Beyond that many will need initial price subsidy to convince them. Cable companies are strapped for cash. Microsoft is white knight, which benefits from content as bandwitdh improves. Msft is also very cash rich. If msft forms alliance with competition (say Time Warner), then athm is history.

The keys - watch rate of subsciptions and watch msft.

Gary
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