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Strategies & Market Trends : India Coffee House

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To: JPR who wrote (12299)	6/20/2002 10:03:03 PM
From: Bread Upon The Water	Read Replies (2) of 12475

Hi back: I basically agree with your analysis of US foreign policy. However, it remains to be seen if sensors themselves can stop the terrorist infiltration into Kashmir. Additonally, the only way Pakistan (politically) can agree to let the US install sensors on the border is to get something in return (money?) that will let it address its pressing domestic needs. At the same time, IMHO, the US has to pressure India to deal directly with Pakistan and come to some kind of accomodation with it regarding Kashmir--otherwise the threat of war between the two remains which the US doesn't want--nor should India want either. IMHO, India has more to lose should it come to war than Pakistan and there is a desperateness to Pakisan's domestic situation that could result in a revolt against the government. Howver, instead of a civil war, I see the fundamentalists in Pakistan much more inclined to take on cross-border terroism against India and boot the US out of Pakistan should they assume control. Therefore, it is in India's larger interest to make concessions to Pakistan with regard to Kashmir---even to giving it territory.

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