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Technology Stocks : Advanced Micro Devices - Moderated (AMD)
AMD 203.14-0.8%Jan 9 9:30 AM EST

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To: wanna_bmw who wrote (83207)6/21/2002 3:47:32 PM
From: andreas_wonischRead Replies (5) of 275872
 
Wanna_bmw, Re: I'd like to know if I should follow suit and wait to repurchase at $5, or to cost-average with my current shares.

I'd had a look at the five year chart and AMD did never close below $7 in that time frame. Actually the lowest close was exactly $7.0 (split-adjusted) somewhen in summer 1998. Even when AMD was nearly bankrupt and had announced a massive earnings shortfall one year later (1999) the stock wasn't trading lower. Since then book-value has increased and AMD has enough cash to last at least another year before getting into a similar situation. Of course there's no guarantee that these historical trading patterns will hold up this time, especially not if the rest of the market continues to go down rapidly, but I think the chances aren't too bad. For AMD to trade at half book-value the company had to be nearly bankrupt IMO. At that won't happen any time soon.

Andreas
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