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Gold/Mining/Energy : Nuvo Research Inc

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To: Morag who wrote (9901)6/22/2002 1:59:44 AM
From: axial  Read Replies (1) of 14101
 
Hi, Morag -

I hope you don't mind a comment.

I have seen no evidence of a margin selloff yet: simply the sudden sale of some shares into a vacuum.

I didn't want to scare people when I posted that, at or below $3, TD would possibly make margin calls. There is no proof that it will happen.

OTOH, I felt it was unrealistic to pretend that margin calls have not become possible - depending on Monday's action.

And there's the thing of it - we don't know what will happen.

There are all kinds of possible reasons for what happened today. Just imagine that you were a competitor of DMX's, with a budget: for $18,000 you could have severely damaged DMX's market cap. Easy as hell.

The big TD cross? Well, it happened after the close. Yes, it could have been a manipulation - or was it just a late-Friday decision by someone at TD to capitalize on the low price, for a client? Suspicion and paranoia make everything look planned, everything look conspiratorial. The fact is that TD was making small crosses all day.

This has a different appearance to every eye that looks at it.

Whatever happened, if it was Acqua-related, it certainly transcended any notions we've had of "price channels". That's what makes me think it has nothing to do with Acqua: that, and the fact that the close didn't follow the pattern of the day's trading, at all.

We just have to wait it out.

I wish you, and all longs on margin, the best of luck. I suggest that it would take very little to put the price above 3 again - just as it took very little to bring it below 3.

Best wishes,

Jim
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