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Politics : Stockman Scott's Political Debate Porch

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To: stockman_scott who wrote (666)6/25/2002 10:40:57 AM
From: Jim Willie CB  Read Replies (1) of 89467
 
Marsico has incorrect view of US growth and productivity
the 1990 growth was largely from gold subsidizing treasurys
so we mortgaged the 2000-2010 decade to get lower interest rates

productivity is grossly overstated, as Gross and Roache and Jim Grant have noted
hedonic stat conventions dont wash thru scrutiny
either in productivity or inflation calculations

the virtuous cycle of subsidizing treasurys now YIELDS to a vicious cycle of margin calls on gold
which ushers in the next era of declining dollar, higher inflation, higher rates, more recession, more layoffs

expect discontinuity to arrive before end of year
/ jim
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