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Strategies & Market Trends : Complacency Indexes

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To: ajtj99 who wrote (1461)6/25/2002 11:31:08 PM
From: eddieww  Read Replies (1) of 1487
 
ajtj and stomper:

Just a note of thanks for administering the ball-peen hammer to my head a little on sunday. -g-

I actually did buy at 25.25 on monday, but when the coil broke down today I dumped it all and actually came out a few cents ahead.

The problem of timing, IMO, is that individual traders like us, who have survived the past couple years, are now the low-hanging fruit for the hedgies and big houses. When I'm reading SI and see everyone waiting and drooling for a capitulation event, I begin to think we won't see it at all. Especially since the talking heads are all selling the idea so hard in the media. I thought we would see an ugly rally of gap-and-flats where most of the up would be overnite. Now, I'm beginning to think we may have a sort of unsatisfactory capitulation from which we do not bounce, but trace out a long "L".

"Whenever things sound easy, it turns out there's one part you didn't hear"
~ Jane Bryant Quinn
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