Booms, Busts, and Recoveries Message Board

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Strategies & Market Trends : Booms, Busts, and Recoveries

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To: TobagoJack who wrote (20551)	6/29/2002 2:34:40 AM
From: smolejv@gmx.net	Read Replies (1) of 74559

Hi Jay - my 2c on the numbers. One thing that everybody involved in the game should have a feel for is time and the dynamics of the game, caused by the flow of time. Example 1: 25% - (foreign ownership of US assets). When this bare fact is quoted in time context, it is much more difficult to ignore its implications 1980 5% 1990 11% 2000 25% Time coordinate brings in some colour into the situation - "it was 25% in 2000 and it's been doubling every 10 years". That's quite a different story as a mere 25%, static colorblind number. Example 2: (just short and qualitative) XYZ is down 80% from top ( ergo time to buy) XYZ has been sliding down from top the last 6 months (any reason it would stop this weekend? ergo time to short) RegZ DJ

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