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Politics : Stockman Scott's Political Debate Porch

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To: Haim R. Branisteanu who wrote (79)7/3/2002 10:55:51 AM
From: Jim Willie CB  Read Replies (2) of 89467
 
Haim, I read of increased dollar carry trade, as I expected
what are you seeing out there in the trenches?

the dollar took an accelerated move down in late June
from 111 to 105 in a flash
I suspect futures were used to take dollar down, euro up
this is the essence of my described dollar carry trade

my forward view is that the dollar will be around 98-101 by end of year
and 88-91 sometime in 2003, maybe earlier than we expect
during all this airpocket hyper-action, we should see a currency crisis never witnessed before
and gold taking off

I would greatly appreciate any thoughts and observations

or maybe you are in some tornado shelter
I hope not
thanks, jim
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