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Technology Stocks : Semi Equipment Analysis
SOXX 312.76+1.1%4:00 PM EST

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To: Pink Minion who wrote (3825)7/3/2002 12:37:41 PM
From: Sarmad Y. Hermiz  Read Replies (1) of 95536
 
>> And that's why you do not have capitulation at bear market bottoms.

SB,

I agree that waiting for capitulation will be like waiting for Godot. It won't arrive. As long as share prices are dropping, discouraged speculators will gradually remove themselves from the market. In fact contrary to the capitulation model, I expect prices and volume to be positively correlated. Rising prices will bring money and volume into the market. Falling prices will drive same away. In a proportionate way.

Well, I'm still very interested in the source of selling. For new dot.crap companies, insiders are the source. But how about Intel or AMAT, insiders do not have a lot of shares. And the selling you showed in AMAT was at $27/sh. And there were not many shares. So I don't think AMAT and JDSU fall in the same basket.

Anyway, Obviously some one is selling.

Regards,
Sarmad
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