Booms, Busts, and Recoveries Message Board

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Strategies & Market Trends : Booms, Busts, and Recoveries

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To: Maurice Winn who wrote (20811)	7/6/2002 5:01:01 AM
From: smolejv@gmx.net	Read Replies (1) of 74559

Hi Mq, I'm using your paragraph >>My expectation from some years ago was that the next move is for interest rates to start rising...<< Can the audience play a couple of scenarios through on this subject? My first (and only) reaction: you raise interest rates when things are heating up (no sign from the toad in the cooking pot she decided to start thawing up) and/or the capital is supposed to get scarce (no apparent sign of that either, if dollars means capital) or risky (now, this could be a subject to go deeper into...) So...whenever the 25 basis points start to show the other way, any of the points mentioned above, would come into play. My gut feeling: risk differential. iow, no triple A for uncle A anymore. Because, you can't print capital, you can only print banknotes (I assume...) dj

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