Formerly About Applied Materials Message Board

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Politics : Formerly About Applied Materials

AMAT 250.82

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To: Gottfried who wrote (64762)	7/9/2002 9:50:28 AM
From: michael97123	Read Replies (1) of 70976

G, I would think secular is the long term trend. Guess we were in a secular bull from early 80's to 99. Within that period there were cyclical bears--October 87 for example. Now the reverse with intermittent bull phases that are called cyclical that could be dramatic and last more months at a time. If this is correct my hope is that with all this loose change around, we can get that significant cyclical bull to take us into the 2000's before the Bear trend is reconfirmed. Do demographics and supply of money outweigh guns and butter with excessive deficits, damage to the investor psyche by crooked ceos and terror war which apparently will be fought mostly in the heds <g> of american citizens rather than on battlefields. If the latter holds true it means the secular trend will go against demographics and cold cash. mike

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