lurking dude-
i read what you wrote about capitulation and thinking aloud about whether a bottom has been put in, and wondering if you might be early in getting back in.
before you go buy a buttload of equities you better read this:
mywebpages.comcast.net
capitulation is NOT what will turn the market. look for a change in attitude from the dudes who hold their fingers on the triggers first. from fear to trust... from defensiveness to risk-taking-global-benevolence.
it takes a great deal more courage and character... and it does a lot more good... to walk through the valley of the shadow of death with trust than it does to walk through it with fear and massive firepower.
history will laud praise on the likes of gorbechev, mandella, dalai lama, sadat, carter, clinton and polvito. <g> <perhaps not that last one>
it's great to see the scrutiny that is exposing the corrupt practices of the enrons, worldcoms, haliburtons, andersons, and brokerages but these revelations are NOT what is dragging down the market. those would only bring down the individual companies. the market was dragged down by the global economic leader - the USA - because it changed its attitude and became self-serving. (the only way to serve self is to serve the world first.)
look for signs of a change in that attitude before you bet on the market.
yer fren,
-polvie |