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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group
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To: Nadine Carroll who wrote (34214)7/12/2002 9:17:37 AM
From: carranza2  Read Replies (1) of 281500
 
I also expect Hizbullah to open up the Israeli/Lebanese war at the same we attack Iraq. Syria will probably be drawn in as well, Bashar Assad doesn't sound smart enough to me to avoid it.

This is where I see uncertainty. Syria clearly has some sort of deal with the US--the collaboration on Al Qaeda and no mention of Syria as part of the axis of evil suggests that there may be a rapprochement in the works. Part of a deal might involve keeping low when the US strikes at Iraq. Syria is surely uncomfortable with Saddam next door so perhaps the Syrians have figured out that it is best to let the US do the dirty work in Iraq while Hizbollah is left to its own devices. We know what that means--Hizbollah will be cut down and Syria will shed crocodile tears as its own post-war position is enhanced at no cost to it at all.
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