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Strategies & Market Trends : Dow Dogs, Foolish Four and other market-beating strategies

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To: Paul Shread who started this subject7/14/2002 7:15:42 PM
From: llackey   of 82
 
Current list of all S&P MidCap 400 stocks under either 10 Yr downside or 5 Yr downside targets based on the method outlined in "Trouncing The Dow". Sorted by Price/10 Yr downside target. Column headings are explained at Message 17075366 and Message 17427057

Price 10Yr 10Yr Price/ 5Yr 5Yr Price/ 04-06 04-06 EPS Buff Altman
Ticker Update 7/5 Down Up 10YDwn Down Up 5Y Dwn Down Up Growth Value Z Scr Ind. Name

TDS 7/5 60.3 124.95 205.43 -52% N/A N/A N/A 210.48 346.05 4% 62.97 0.93 TELESERV Telephone & Data Systems
BRL 4/26 54.59 103.32 243.12 -47% 83.10 202.39 -34% 136.29 320.71 -29% 91.17 11.68 DRUG Barr Laboratories
IVX 4/26 11.1 20.50 46.22 -46% 20.70 54.32 -46% 37.99 85.65 13% 15.98 2.35 DRUG IVAX Corp.
ILA 7/5 7.11 12.23 17.11 -42% 10.92 17.00 -35% 17.95 25.11 -38% 16.92 N/A UTILCENT Aquila, Inc.
MENT 5/31 9.98 16.91 37.76 -41% 15.53 37.38 -36% 23.97 53.53 36% 25.38 4.00 SOFTWARE Mentor Graphics
ICN 4/26 9.8 16.41 38.72 -40% 26.39 64.77 -63% 29.85 70.46 73% 37.59 2.31 DRUG ICN Pharmaceuticals
WEC 7/5 23.4 34.27 43.67 -32% 36.77 50.04 -36% 38.36 48.89 19% 1.88 N/A UTILCENT Wisconsin Energy
BKS 5/17 22.52 32.94 64.62 -32% 29.22 62.84 -23% 69.30 135.96 55% N/A 2.97 RETAILSP Barnes & Noble
TSN 5/10 12.85 18.04 27.91 -29% 20.72 33.58 -38% 36.88 57.06 45% 22.56 2.30 FOODPROC Tyson Foods
GXP 7/5 18.64 24.89 30.73 -25% 26.16 32.16 -29% 31.06 38.34 28% 46.99 N/A UTILCENT Great Plains Energy Inc.
OCR 7/5 22.68 30.22 60.09 -25% 27.00 55.03 -16% 45.02 89.53 40% 31.95 2.71 DRUGSTOR Omnicare, Inc.
PZZA 6/14 30 37.91 70.10 -21% 31.37 57.21 -4% 50.78 93.91 9% 39.47 4.91 RESTRNT Papa John's Int'l.
POM 6/7 18.51 23.32 30.43 -21% 22.88 30.44 -19% 29.89 39.01 38% 29.14 N/A UTILEAST Potomac Electric Power
RDA 5/24 16.95 21.12 32.72 -20% 20.48 37.80 -17% 37.19 57.62 43% 21.62 2.83 PUBLISH Readers Digest Assoc.
LNT 7/5 23.89 29.15 36.33 -18% 29.51 38.23 -19% 36.06 44.95 18% -10.34 N/A UTILCENT Alliant Energy
PAS 5/10 13.09 15.95 22.95 -18% 20.66 32.85 -37% 25.74 37.04 60% 14.10 1.64 BEVERAGE PepsiAmericas, Inc.
OHP 6/28 41.82 50.69 119.80 -17% N/A N/A N/A 72.15 170.53 14% 65.79 6.45 MEDSERV Oxford Health Plans
SFD 5/10 16.4 19.69 38.69 -17% 15.78 32.68 4% 27.60 54.22 18% 39.47 3.23 FOODPROC Smithfield Foods
DOL 5/10 27.74 32.98 55.32 -16% 30.33 56.66 -9% 44.16 74.07 27% 6.58 2.52 FOODPROC Dole Foods
RE 6/28 51.36 60.06 110.29 -14% 51.09 100.56 1% 91.08 167.26 152% N/A 0.28 INSPRPTY Everest Re Group
SCHL 5/24 36.95 43.03 74.20 -14% 48.06 92.67 -23% 67.26 115.98 38% 50.75 2.82 PUBLISH Scholastic Corp.
DQE 6/7 13.22 15.21 21.53 -13% 19.68 29.77 -33% 20.76 29.38 250% 22.56 N/A UTILEAST DQE, Inc.
CDN 5/31 14.26 16.22 38.68 -12% 25.64 61.30 -44% 27.40 65.33 26% 26.32 5.23 SOFTWARE Cadence Design Systems
ALE 7/5 24.53 27.36 36.54 -10% 25.12 35.98 -2% 39.52 52.78 28% 15.98 N/A UTILCENT Allete, Inc.
DST 5/31 40.22 44.84 87.86 -10% 40.72 84.10 -1% 78.26 153.35 16% 27.26 3.61 SOFTWARE DST Systems Inc.
SY 5/31 9.4 10.42 22.86 -10% N/A N/A N/A 30.32 66.53 107% 17.86 2.50 SOFTWARE Sybase Inc.
IDA 5/17 24.7 27.22 37.71 -9% 24.48 36.54 1% 31.93 44.24 -23% 10.34 N/A UTILWEST IDACORP Inc. Hldg. Co.
EYE 6/7 7.6 8.33 33.79 -9% 6.81 29.26 12% 20.52 83.29 18% 9.40 9.38 MEDSUPPL VISX Inc.
BGP 5/17 17.09 18.63 38.32 -8% 18.15 37.60 -6% 31.05 63.87 10% N/A 2.81 RETAILSP Borders Group
YRK 5/3 32.65 35.57 53.62 -8% 28.71 49.71 14% 65.86 99.28 33% 49.81 2.33 MACHINE York International
AOT 6/7 18.71 19.99 32.91 -6% 21.72 36.84 -14% 37.06 61.02 27% 26.32 2.28 MEDSUPPL Apogent Technologies
SPW 5/3 100.67 107.43 220.97 -6% 92.10 195.82 9% 158.74 326.50 40% 133.46 1.48 DIVERSIF SPX Corp.
SNPS 5/31 45.42 48.30 95.16 -6% 38.67 81.11 17% 95.09 187.35 96% 31.95 4.17 SOFTWARE Synopsys Inc.
SSSS 5/3 15.14 15.95 30.45 -5% 16.79 37.08 -10% 48.38 92.37 84% 6.58 3.89 MACHINE Stewart & Stevenson Services
PNM 5/17 19.55 20.59 30.72 -5% 18.36 29.23 6% 24.88 37.12 -8% -10.34 N/A UTILWEST PNM Resources, Inc.
SCG 6/7 28.28 29.64 38.51 -5% 29.59 40.12 -4% 37.85 49.18 15% -35.71 N/A UTILEAST SCANA Corp. (New)
ROL 6/14 18.65 19.34 27.57 -4% 37.53 55.50 -50% 25.66 36.59 22% 23.50 4.19 INDUSRV Rollins, Inc.
NMGA 5/17 30.05 31.14 58.04 -3% 17.01 33.30 77% 62.67 116.82 54% N/A 3.58 RETAIL Neiman-Marcus Group 'A'
ATG 6/21 21.42 22.18 29.47 -3% 22.73 30.83 -6% 29.73 39.50 -16% 0.00 0.65 GASDISTR AGL Resources Ltd.
MBG 5/24 27.35 28.21 53.67 -3% 23.53 52.71 16% 57.45 109.30 53% 30.08 1.10 HOTELGAM Mandalay Resort Group
FMER 6/28 24.8 25.43 38.04 -2% 24.74 38.99 0% 38.81 58.07 12% N/A N/A BANKMID FirstMerit Corp.
TTN 4/19 11.71 11.99 44.89 -2% 9.42 40.80 24% N/A N/A 74% 15.98 1.90 ELECTRNX Titan Corp.
NYCB 4/26 26.72 27.10 48.17 -1% 27.68 50.26 -3% 41.86 74.41 40% N/A 0.27 THRIFT New York Community Bank
PHSY 6/28 24.49 24.73 56.76 -1% 24.22 63.82 1% 33.75 77.46 57% 63.91 2.68 MEDSERV PacifiCare Health Sys
UVV 5/10 34.41 34.50 55.01 0% 26.23 44.42 31% 43.24 68.95 -13% 35.71 2.60 TOBACCO Universal Corp.
GMT 5/3 27.92 27.48 42.51 2% 28.99 50.19 -4% 42.77 66.15 737% -302.63 0.65 DIVERSIF GATX Corp.
ASBC 6/28 34.731 34.13 49.89 2% 35.59 54.99 -2% 56.20 82.15 8% N/A N/A BANKMID Associated Banc-Corp
AFG 6/28 22.08 21.08 32.62 5% 27.00 43.37 -18% 41.73 64.59 61% N/A 0.09 INSPRPTY American Financial Group Hldg.
EV 5/31 28.1 26.66 44.54 5% 29.43 49.56 -5% 49.67 82.99 15% 62.03 5.34 FINANCL Eaton Vance
ESRX 7/5 43.68 39.31 91.11 11% 44.33 104.55 -1% 74.99 173.79 45% 47.93 5.38 DRUGSTOR Express Scripts
DRYR 5/10 68.75 56.38 103.96 22% 73.08 142.09 -6% 103.45 190.72 249% 23.50 8.16 FOODPROC Dreyer's Grand Ice Cream
ATML 4/19 5.13 4.00 12.03 28% 5.22 17.85 -2% 17.89 53.79 262% 7.52 1.53 SEMICOND Atmel Corp.
ELY 5/24 14.2 10.09 20.96 41% 14.41 29.63 -1% 19.85 41.21 15% 23.50 6.96 RECREATE Callaway Golf Co.
DV 5/10 21.41 7.89 15.84 171% 26.04 53.69 -18% 12.78 25.65 15% 1.88 11.24 EDUC DeVRY Inc.
PWR 6/14 2.77 N/A N/A N/A 12.17 36.51 -77% N/A N/A 13% 26.32 1.63 INDUSRV Quanta Services
MVSN 5/10 10.7 N/A N/A N/A 26.02 96.74 -59% N/A N/A 10% 15.04 14.23 ENT TECH Macrovision Corp.
CSGS 6/14 15.8 N/A N/A N/A 27.56 66.82 -43% N/A N/A -1% 38.53 7.69 INDUSRV CSG Systems Int'l.
PLCM 7/5 10.5 N/A N/A N/A 13.99 49.45 -25% N/A N/A 44% 18.80 4.85 TELEQUIP Polycom Inc.
ISCA 5/24 37.68 N/A N/A N/A 45.02 80.30 -16% N/A N/A 25% 31.02 2.47 RECREATE International Speedway
URI 5/3 15.75 N/A N/A N/A 18.12 43.69 -13% N/A N/A 58% 40.41 1.06 MACHINE United Rentals
PZB 5/24 21.45 N/A N/A N/A 22.09 37.11 -3% N/A N/A 43% 31.95 1.98 DIVERSIF Pittston Brink's Group

Benchmark Investing values for the Dow can be found at benchmarkinvesting.com under DJIA (Free) menu.

- Lee
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