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Strategies & Market Trends : The New Economy and its Winners
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To: Bill Harmond who wrote (12727)7/16/2002 3:08:07 AM
From: fedhead  Read Replies (2) of 57684
 
I think for all practical purposes it does not matter whether it is a secular or cyclical bear. Even within a secular bear you had periods of cyclical bull markets where
you could have bought stocks and made money. I belive the period from late 74 to 1976 was a cyclical bull within the
secular bear. The only difference is if it is a secular bear you want to be in the mindset of selling when the market falters whereas in a secular bull buy and hold is the best strategy. Having said that today's bounce of the
Dow from September lows appeared too convenient and contrived. I would like the ^VIX to stay above 40 for more
than a day to generate fear. Heck I was more scared in
September - October 1998 than I was today. I have a feeling that today was not the low.

Anindo
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