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Strategies & Market Trends : Classic TA Workplace

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To: At_The_Ask who wrote (45927)7/17/2002 9:44:11 AM
From: John Madarasz  Read Replies (2) of 209892
 
re: mysterious buy iterest...who knows??<g>

Rumors have been floating around about heavy institutional buying of S&P
futures near the bottom of Monday's wildly volatile session. Like everyone
else, I don't know whether this is true or not. We will, however, know by this
weekend when the latest open interest breakdown in stock index futures is
released. One thing that strikes me as odd, however, is the lack of
institutional participation in SPX options during Monday's session. Pull up
the Morning Edition datafile for the SPX on our PutCallWatch service, and
you'll see that firms accounted for only 12% of Monday's SPX volume. You'd
think that if institutions were really that involved in the futures, there
would be a commensurate surge in SPX option activity. The fact that there
wasn't makes me a bit suspicious of the institutional buying theory.
Interestingly, if you look back at times when the percentage of firm
involvement did surge, it almost always occurred on a rally day in the S&P,
and just happened to precede the next leg down in the market.


www.astrikos.com
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