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Technology Stocks : Semi-Equips - Buy when BLOOD is running in the streets!
LRCX 159.13-4.4%Nov 11 3:59 PM EST

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To: Robert Douglas who wrote (10445)7/17/2002 3:36:29 PM
From: Jim Willie CB  Read Replies (2) of 10921
 
you refer to federal debt as pct of US GDP

I refer to combined federal, corporate, state/local govt, and household interest plus portion to principal
versus US GDP

is it unlikely?
counts mortgages, second mortgages, credit card, car loans, student loans, boat loans for individuals
many households go negative each month, and get by from tapping home equity

counts federal interest but without benefit of income

counts corporate, state/local govt debt service without income

very very likely to me
esp since combined govts pay up but dont have income
the country is choking on debt
the big effect I find critical is that wives (spouses) went to work in the 1960's and 1970's to keep up with rising cost of living
in the 1990's we were given a "pass" and saved nothing, expecting 10% annual mutual funds and 401k growth
but in the 1990's we really needed a 3rd household member to pitch in with expenses
but only two people work in marriages
homes really need Uncle Charly or Aunt Martha to live with them and pitch in on costs

I will check debt links, and it might take a few days
I believe the biggest rise is in corp debts
if I recall, corp debt load is 3-4x what it was in 1990
but GDP is only 40% higher (or so)
now that corporate debt is being liquidated rapidly via BK's
a few $100B just died recently
/ jim
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