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Politics : High Tolerance Plasticity

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To: kodiak_bull who started this subject7/19/2002 5:11:22 PM
From: pvz  Read Replies (1) of 23153
 
S&P Valuation ("Fed Model") using latest operating earnings estimates:

What it is: Earnings Yield (eps/$spx) compared to $tnx.x

1. $spx.x valuation

S&P Operating Earnings** 55.92
Earnings yield 6.60%
Fair value 1,225
Over (under) (30.79%)



2. Assumptions
S&P Operating Earnings estimates
2002 2003
Q4 14.36 16.52
Q3 13.45 15.54
Q2 12.57 14.60
Q1 10.85 13.51

$spx.x 847.75
10 year yield (tnx) 4.565%

** Fwd estimate = Q3+Q4+Q1(03)+Q2(03) Next quarter = Q4+Q1(03)+Q2(03)+Q3(03)

Source for operating earnings:
spglobal.com
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