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Strategies & Market Trends : Dow Dogs, Foolish Four and other market-beating strategies

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To: Paul Shread who started this subject7/21/2002 11:49:48 PM
From: llackey   of 82
 
Current list of all S&P MidCap 400 stocks under either 10 Yr downside or 5 Yr downside targets based on the method outlined in "Trouncing The Dow". Sorted by Price/10 Yr downside target. Column headings are explained at Message 17075366 and Message 17427057

Price 10Yr 10Yr Price/ 5Yr 5Yr Price/ 04-06 04-06 EPS Buff. Altman
Ticker Update 7/19 Down Up 10YDwn Down Up 5Y Dwn Down Up Growth Value Z Scr Ind.Name

TDS 7/5 63.62 124.95 205.43 -49% N/A N/A N/A 210.48 346.05 122% 62.97 0.64 TELESERV Telephone & Data Systems
BRL 4/26 53.93 103.32 243.12 -48% 83.10 202.39 -35% 136.29 320.71 -29% 91.17 12.16 DRUG Barr Laboratories
MENT 5/31 8.94 16.91 37.76 -47% 15.53 37.38 -42% 23.97 53.53 36% 25.38 4.01 SOFTWARE Mentor Graphics
ILA 7/5 7 12.23 17.11 -43% 10.92 17.00 -36% 17.95 25.11 -38% 16.92 N/A UTILCENT Aquila, Inc.
ICN 4/26 9.83 16.41 38.72 -40% 26.39 64.77 -63% 29.85 70.46 73% 37.59 1.77 DRUG ICN Pharmaceuticals
BKS 5/17 20.08 32.94 64.62 -39% 29.22 62.84 -31% 69.30 135.96 55% N/A 2.92 RETAILSP Barnes & Noble
IVX 4/26 12.5 20.50 46.22 -39% 20.70 54.32 -40% 37.99 85.65 13% 15.98 2.51 DRUG IVAX Corp.
LNT 7/5 18.22 29.15 36.33 -37% 29.51 38.23 -38% 36.06 44.95 18% -10.34 N/A UTILCENT Alliant Energy
WEC 7/5 21.98 34.27 43.67 -36% 36.77 50.04 -40% 38.36 48.89 19% 1.88 N/A UTILCENT Wisconsin Energy
OCR 7/5 20.48 30.22 60.09 -32% 27.00 55.03 -24% 45.02 89.53 40% 31.95 2.70 DRUGSTOR Omnicare, Inc.
TSN 5/10 12.56 18.04 27.91 -30% 20.72 33.58 -39% 36.88 57.06 45% 22.56 2.30 FOODPROC Tyson Foods
POM 6/7 17 23.32 30.43 -27% 22.88 30.44 -26% 29.89 39.01 38% 29.14 N/A UTILEAST Potomac Electric Power
GXP 7/5 18.25 24.89 30.73 -27% 26.16 32.16 -30% 31.06 38.34 28% 46.99 N/A UTILCENT Great Plains Energy Inc.
RE 6/28 44.57 60.06 110.29 -26% 51.09 100.56 -13% 91.08 167.26 152% N/A 0.27 INSPRPTY Everest Re Group
PZZA 6/14 28.61 37.91 70.10 -25% 31.37 57.21 -9% 50.78 93.91 9% 39.47 4.89 RESTRNT Papa John's Int'l.
DST 5/31 34.4 44.84 87.86 -23% 40.72 84.10 -16% 78.26 153.35 16% 27.26 3.59 SOFTWARE DST Systems Inc.
PAS 5/10 12.26 15.95 22.95 -23% 20.66 32.85 -41% 25.74 37.04 60% 14.10 1.60 BEVERAGE PepsiAmericas, Inc.
RDA 5/24 16.44 21.12 32.72 -22% 20.48 37.80 -20% 37.19 57.62 43% 21.62 2.79 PUBLISH Readers Digest Assoc.
SFD 5/10 15.4 19.69 38.69 -22% 15.78 32.68 -2% 27.60 54.22 18% 39.47 3.25 FOODPROC Smithfield Foods
DOL 5/10 26.13 32.98 55.32 -21% 30.33 56.66 -14% 44.16 74.07 27% 6.58 2.49 FOODPROC Dole Foods
SCHL 5/24 34.78 43.03 74.20 -19% 48.06 92.67 -28% 67.26 115.98 38% 50.75 2.81 PUBLISH Scholastic Corp.
MTX 6/21 33.17 40.94 61.78 -19% 36.12 56.85 -8% 69.33 104.62 10% 55.45 2.95 CHEMSPEC Minerals Technologies
DQE 6/7 12.5 15.21 21.53 -18% 19.68 29.77 -36% 20.76 29.38 250% 22.56 N/A UTILEAST DQE, Inc.
OHP 6/28 42.35 50.69 119.80 -16% N/A N/A N/A 72.15 170.53 14% 65.79 6.52 MEDSERV Oxford Health Plans
SSSS 5/3 13.52 15.95 30.45 -15% 16.79 37.08 -19% 48.38 92.37 84% 6.58 3.81 MACHINE Stewart & Stevenson Services
NMGA 5/17 26.4 31.14 58.04 -15% 17.01 33.30 55% 62.67 116.82 54% N/A 3.43 RETAIL Neiman-Marcus Group 'A'
ALE 7/5 23.25 27.36 36.54 -15% 25.12 35.98 -7% 39.52 52.78 28% 15.98 N/A UTILCENT Allete, Inc.
YRK 5/3 30.25 35.57 53.62 -15% 28.71 49.71 5% 65.86 99.28 33% 49.81 2.32 MACHINE York International
BGP 5/17 15.87 18.63 38.32 -15% 18.15 37.60 -13% 31.05 63.87 10% N/A 2.75 RETAILSP Borders Group
PETM 5/17 14.75 17.10 42.19 -14% 10.79 40.80 37% 36.75 90.67 13% N/A 4.90 RETAILSP PETsMART
ATG 6/21 19.27 22.18 29.47 -13% 22.73 30.83 -15% 29.73 39.50 -16% 0.00 0.64 GASDISTR AGL Resources Ltd.
FMER 6/28 22.24 25.43 38.04 -13% 24.74 38.99 -10% 38.81 58.07 12% N/A N/A BANKMID FirstMerit Corp.
IDA 5/17 24.26 27.22 37.71 -11% 24.48 36.54 -1% 31.93 44.24 -23% 10.34 N/A UTILWEST IDACORP Inc. Hldg. Co.
SCG 6/7 26.5 29.64 38.51 -11% 29.59 40.12 -10% 37.85 49.18 15% -35.71 N/A UTILEAST SCANA Corp. (New)
SPW 5/3 96.5 107.43 220.97 -10% 92.10 195.82 5% 158.74 326.50 40% 133.46 1.49 DIVERSIF SPX Corp.
EYE 6/7 7.51 8.33 33.79 -10% 6.81 29.26 10% 20.52 83.29 59% 9.40 8.46 MEDSUPPL VISX Inc.
PNM 5/17 18.85 20.59 30.72 -8% 18.36 29.23 3% 24.88 37.12 -8% -10.34 N/A UTILWEST PNM Resources, Inc.
CNL 7/5 18.01 19.52 26.05 -8% 19.28 27.71 -7% 25.17 33.59 10% 29.14 N/A UTILCENT Cleco Corp. Hldg. Co
CDN 5/31 15 16.22 38.68 -8% 25.64 61.30 -41% 27.40 65.33 26% 26.32 5.63 SOFTWARE Cadence Design Systems
SNPS 5/31 44.77 48.30 95.16 -7% 38.67 81.11 16% 95.09 187.35 96% 31.95 4.08 SOFTWARE Synopsys Inc.
MBG 5/24 26.16 28.21 53.67 -7% 23.53 52.71 11% 57.45 109.30 53% 30.08 1.10 HOTELGAM Mandalay Resort Group
SXT 5/10 18.18 19.57 27.96 -7% 19.42 28.34 -6% 30.44 43.50 7% 28.20 2.15 FOODPROC Sensient Technologies
AOT 6/7 18.65 19.99 32.91 -7% 21.72 36.84 -14% 37.06 61.02 27% 26.32 2.34 MEDSUPPL Apogent Technologies
NFG 6/21 17.95 19.11 26.41 -6% 18.88 26.37 -5% 30.70 42.42 3% 28.20 0.99 GASDIVRS National Fuel Gas
UVV 5/10 32.42 34.50 55.01 -6% 26.23 44.42 24% 43.24 68.95 -13% 35.71 2.59 TOBACCO Universal Corp.
PCP 6/28 25.28 26.87 55.48 -6% 20.95 47.29 21% 34.38 70.97 -13% 54.51 1.95 DEFENSE Precision Castparts
HCC 6/28 21.01 22.31 42.83 -6% 21.87 41.46 -4% 35.63 68.39 75% N/A 0.41 INSPRPTY HCC Insurance Holdings
ASBC 6/28 32.26 34.13 49.89 -5% 35.59 54.99 -9% 56.20 82.15 8% N/A N/A BANKMID Associated Banc-Corp
GVA 7/12 20.5 21.48 39.03 -5% 18.44 34.39 11% 39.46 71.69 57% 7.52 4.69 BUILDING Granite Construction
NYCB 4/26 25.99 27.10 48.17 -4% 27.68 50.26 -6% 41.86 74.41 40% N/A 0.28 THRIFT New York Community Bank
OGE 7/5 18.2 18.89 24.90 -4% 18.82 25.40 -3% 25.93 34.18 16% 11.28 N/A UTILCENT OGE Energy Corp.
ROL 6/14 18.7 19.34 27.57 -3% 37.53 55.50 -50% 25.66 36.59 22% 23.50 4.20 INDUSRV Rollins, Inc.
LEN 7/12 49.11 50.64 95.03 -3% 40.89 89.91 20% 86.56 162.45 8% N/A 2.50 HOMEBILD Lennar Corp.
GMT 5/3 26.76 27.48 42.51 -3% 28.99 50.19 -8% 42.77 66.15 737% -302.63 0.65 DIVERSIF GATX Corp.
HE 5/17 37.39 38.36 48.35 -3% 36.12 46.39 4% 44.61 56.23 5% 58.27 N/A UTILWEST Hawaiian Electric Industries
CHD 7/12 26.61 27.24 42.56 -2% 24.11 38.89 10% 43.60 68.11 11% 26.32 2.67 HOUSEPRD Church & Dwight
AEOS 5/17 16.55 16.92 48.31 -2% 14.82 41.71 12% 30.12 86.01 17% N/A 7.82 RETAILSP American Eagle Outfitters
EV 5/31 26.14 26.66 44.54 -2% 29.43 49.56 -11% 49.67 82.99 15% 62.03 5.24 FINANCL Eaton Vance
CPRT 6/14 13.4 13.66 31.91 -2% 12.50 30.58 7% 28.99 67.69 21% -2.82 19.13 INDUSRV Copart, Inc.
EQT 6/21 30.8 31.40 47.67 -2% 28.68 47.54 7% 51.77 78.58 29% 13.16 1.56 GASDIVRS Equitable Resources
POS 6/14 27.19 27.70 49.16 -2% 26.54 48.13 2% 57.50 102.05 24% 27.26 8.23 INDUSRV Catalina Marketing
GLT 7/12 15.96 16.20 24.19 -2% 13.67 21.60 17% 29.62 44.23 35% 21.62 1.62 PAPER Glatfelter
SEIC 5/31 24.3 24.62 72.53 -1% 22.00 70.60 10% 50.01 147.32 15% 23.50 12.36 SOFTWARE SEI Corp.
DPL 7/5 17.14 17.32 24.00 -1% 16.71 25.11 3% 24.76 34.32 9% 30.08 N/A UTILCENT DPL Incorporated
PRGO 4/26 11.42 11.52 22.75 -1% 11.20 21.83 2% 18.90 37.30 0% 11.28 5.01 DRUG Perrigo Co.
HB 5/3 49.65 50.10 75.23 -1% 45.93 75.04 8% 82.29 123.57 4% 50.75 1.23 DIVERSIF Hillenbrand Industries
OSI 6/14 28 28.22 49.90 -1% 23.85 42.78 17% 48.01 84.90 14% 11.28 7.27 RESTRNT Outback Steakhouse
AFG 6/28 20.92 21.08 32.62 -1% 27.00 43.37 -23% 41.73 64.59 61% N/A 0.09 INSPRPTY American Financial Group Hldg.
BTH 7/12 26.65 26.78 47.11 0% 24.03 40.51 11% 49.97 87.91 21% 38.53 5.02 HOUSEPRD Blyth Inc.
NST 6/7 37.41 37.01 48.71 1% 37.72 49.89 -1% 44.97 59.19 9% 37.59 N/A UTILEAST NSTAR
FMC 5/3 24.87 24.06 36.64 3% 27.27 46.83 -9% 28.75 43.78 8% 73.31 1.12 MACHINE FMC Corp.
JKHY 5/31 12.95 12.33 26.25 5% 13.70 29.11 -5% 28.09 59.81 16% 5.64 7.68 SOFTWARE Henry (Jack) & Assoc.
HHS 5/24 16.98 14.88 22.39 14% 17.68 26.64 -4% 23.60 35.52 23% 13.78 6.75 ADVERT Harte-Hanks, Inc.
DRYR 5/10 67.92 56.38 103.96 20% 73.08 142.09 -7% 103.45 190.72 249% 23.50 8.12 FOODPROC Dreyer's Grand Ice Cream
ELY 5/24 14 10.09 20.96 39% 14.41 29.63 -3% 19.85 41.21 15% 23.50 6.86 RECREATE Callaway Golf Co.
BLC 5/24 20 12.98 19.66 54% 20.69 33.76 -3% 23.83 36.09 184% 23.50 1.04 ENTRTAIN Belo Corp.
DV 5/10 19.59 7.89 15.84 148% 26.04 53.69 -25% 12.78 25.65 15% 1.88 10.73 EDUC DeVRY Inc.
ICBC 4/26 26.81 N/A N/A N/A 27.20 47.15 -1% N/A N/A 17% N/A 0.20 THRIFT Independence Community Bank
URI 5/3 15.89 N/A N/A N/A 18.12 43.69 -12% N/A N/A 58% 40.41 1.07 MACHINE United Rentals
MVSN 5/10 10.18 N/A N/A N/A 26.02 96.74 -61% N/A N/A 10% 15.04 15.10 ENT TECH Macrovision Corp.
BJ 5/17 33.75 N/A N/A N/A 35.95 57.15 -6% N/A N/A 17% N/A 6.47 RETAIL BJ's Wholesale Club
ISCA 5/24 36.01 N/A N/A N/A 45.02 80.30 -20% N/A N/A 27% 31.02 2.38 RECREATE International Speedway
PPE 5/24 8.6 N/A N/A N/A 8.91 15.87 -3% N/A N/A 107% 12.22 0.75 HOTELGAM Park Place Entertainment
PZB 5/24 19.9 N/A N/A N/A 22.09 37.11 -10% N/A N/A 43% 31.95 1.96 DIVERSIF Pittston Brink's Group
CSGS 6/14 16.32 N/A N/A N/A 27.56 66.82 -41% N/A N/A -1% 38.53 8.12 INDUSRV CSG Systems Int'l.
PWR 6/14 2.96 N/A N/A N/A 12.17 36.51 -76% N/A N/A 13% 26.32 1.66 INDUSRV Quanta Services
PLCM 7/5 11.01 N/A N/A N/A 13.99 49.45 -21% N/A N/A 44% 18.80 5.49 TELEQUIP Polycom Inc.

Just a quick note that now over 20% of the MidCap 400 are under their downside price. Benchmark Investing values for the Dow can be found at benchmarkinvesting.com under DJIA (Free) menu.

- Lee
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