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Strategies & Market Trends : The New Economy and its Winners

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To: Lizzie Tudor who wrote (12916)7/22/2002 2:49:17 PM
From: Wizard  Read Replies (6) of 57684
 
>>Are there any examples of a bear market like this that doesn't preclude a recession, anybody know? In 1987 there was no recession but it was not a 3-year bear.

1962. In '87, there was a bond market crash first. 1962 looks a lot like this one. Interest rates were low and GDP was growing roughly 4% over the following 4 quarters. The charts off the peaks (1962 and today's) look very similar. In 1962, the S&P500 dropped about -30% off of its recent peak and then rallied and was materially higher 6 and 12 months later.
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