article in IBD tomorrow..............
There's Cachet And Profit In Owning Fiber Networks
Date: 7/17/97 Author: Reinhardt Krause
Build, buy or lease. For second-tier long-distance phone companies, deciding how to run their fiber-optic networks is becoming a harder choice.
But owning fiber networks looks like a smart move.
''In the past, it was a simple proposition to make decent money without owning fiber,'' said Michele Wolf, a financial analyst at Bear, Stearns & Co. in New York. ''But a lot of these companies are thinking about when the RBOCs (regional Bell operating companies) get into long-distance.''
The largest telephone carriers - AT&T Corp., MCI Communications Corp., Sprint Corp. and WorldCom Inc. - operate nationwide networks. Their fiber-optic networks carry digital data as rapid pulses of light.
Smaller long-distance players usually lease capacity from bigger rivals or other wholesale carriers. They resell long-distance services, often focusing on niche residential or business customers.
But the telecommunications market is changing fast. Before the Internet, it looked like there was plenty of fiber to go around. Not anymore.
Another factor is telecom reform. If Baby Bells get over regulatory hurdles, they may soon enter long-distance markets. Other alternative carriers are eyeing the long-distance business, too.
It all adds up to fierce competition. So it may pay to own fiber, not lease it.
''It's possible that price competition will get tough enough so that companies with the lowest possible operating costs will be the most successful,'' added Wolf. ''Owning facilities reduces their operating costs somewhat.''
Rochester, N.Y.-based Frontier Corp. is getting the message. With about $2.57 billion in total revenue in '96, Frontier is the fifth- largest long-distance company in the U.S.
Frontier was formed in '95 when a local phone company, Rochester Telephone, acquired long-distance provider ALC Communications Corp., based outside of Detroit.
''As larger players enter the business, you want to look at your cost structure and see where you can take costs away,'' said Ron Bittner, chairman and CEO of Frontier. ''One of the big areas in this business is network.''
Frontier wants to rely less on leasing. It's one of three carriers subsidizing the cost of a new coast-to-coast fiber network.
The network is being built by Denver-based Qwest Communications International Inc., formerly Southern Pacific Telecommunications.
The investment, Bittner says, will enable Frontier ''to go up-market.'' It wants to attract larger business customers and offer more data and video services.
Frontier is paying about $450 million to Qwest. Stamford, Conn.-based GTE Corp. and Jackson, Miss.-based WorldCom also are subsidizing Qwest's network.
In return, the three carriers will own about half of the fiber network's capacity. It will span about 13,000 route miles when completed in '98.
For smaller carriers, owning fiber can be a rite of passage to the big leagues.
WorldCom's climb up the ladder was aided by the purchase of Tulsa, Okla.-based WilTel Network Services (Williams Telecommunications Group) for $2.5 billion in early '95. WilTel operated a 10,000-mile fiber network.
Such deals now are part of the phone industry's competition textbook.
In June, Dallas-based Excel Communications Inc. agreed to buy Telco Communications Group of Chantilly, Va., for about $1.2 billion. The deal, expected to be completed by the end of the year, merges two resellers in the long-distance market.
Excel and Telco will grow stronger by combining sales forces, analysts say. But a key part of the deal involved fiber.
In April, Telco bought the fiber- optic network of Advantis - the joint venture of International Business Machines Corp. and Sears Roebuck & Co. of Chicago - for $170 million.
''By putting the (fiber) facilities in place, with the size we have, we can fully load a network and get greater cost efficiencies,'' said Jack McLaine, Excel's president and chief operating officer.
''It also allows us to begin customizing some of the products we offer to the business market,'' he added.
On the other hand, Excel will stay a reseller. It will lease or buy fiber capacity from other carriers. In June, Excel signed a pact with WorldCom, gaining access to its fiber network.
Other second-tier carriers are following a similar strategy, analysts say. McLean, Va.-based LCI International Inc. owns about 1,500 miles of fiber cable in the Midwest, but leases facilities across the U.S., says Bear Stearns' Wolf.
Several second-tier carriers are customers of Austin, Texas-based IXC Communications Inc., a wholesale long-distance carrier. Like Qwest, IXC is building a nationwide fiber network.
As of March, it had installed about 10,000 route miles. LCI, Excel and Frontier all lease or buy fiber capacity from IXC.
Washington-based MCI and WorldCom buy capacity from IXC, too. Analysts say most carriers are snapping up fiber capacity where they can find it.
''In previous years, there was always talk of a bandwidth glut,'' said Steve Koppman, a senior analyst at Northern Business Information Inc., a market research firm based in New York. ''That was until the Internet. With data and the Internet growing so fast, there have been capacity constraints.''
The big carriers, in fact, are trying to boost the capacity of their backbones without burying new fiber in the ground. One option is a new optical technology called wave division multiplexing, or WDM.
Linthicum, Md.-based Ciena Corp., Italy's Pirelli Group SpA, and Lucent Technologies Inc. of Murray Hill, N.J. are selling WDM gear. The amplifiers pump up capacity by dividing light signals into multiple channels.
Ciena's customers include WorldCom and Kansas City, Mo.-based Sprint.
Market research firm Ryan, Hankin, Kent Inc. of San Francisco says the WDM transmission gear market will grow from $1.6 billion in '96 to $4.4 billion by 2001.
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