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Strategies & Market Trends : Stock Attack II - A Complete Analysis

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To: Lee Lichterman III who wrote (38367)7/24/2002 10:42:29 PM
From: Haim R. Branisteanu  Read Replies (1) of 52237
 
Lee, the P/E ratio is not defined from thin air it has to do with the return on investment and real life business valuation. If 25 years ago to establish a manufacturing facility with an output of 1000 wigets per month you needed $500,000 for machinery and equipment and $500,000 for inventory including raw material WIP and finished goods your investment was $1,000,000.

At the time inflation was around 4% and treasury paid you 7.5% from there you have the P/E of 15.

Now with just in time inventory at double the inventory turn you need only $250,000 in inventory and $500,000 for equipment or a total of $750,000. Inflation is 2% and treasury pays you 5% so you should do the math to how much P/E it translates.

1,000,000/750,000 x 15/5x7.5 = P/E 30. the net income on your investment is the same as before when you needed $1,000,000 and due to lower inflation your fiat money buying power depreciate less.

It is a simplistic explanation but true
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