According to the time matches on the re-trace chart, the bottom at 1194 took 18-sessions to resolve. That would indicate at least 7-9 sessions are now needed to resolve this bottom. We've had 3 so far. That might fit well with a ramp for EOM window dressing and a drop to re-test early the 2nd week in August. That also fits well with an August 7 turn date.
Furthremore, the time from the first bottom to the next top is 3-months on the re-trace chart, indicating 1-1/2 months from last Wed maximum until the next top and quite possibly the week after Labor Day.
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The next drop is 6-months long to 1000 on the re-trace chart. It should take 2-1/2 months or so now. That would put us into the middle or end of November (there is a turn date on November 7). The rise after that to 1250 is a little less than 2-months, so we'll call it a 3-4 week event on the re-trace chart and have it happen the end of the year possibly. |