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Strategies & Market Trends : Dow Dogs, Foolish Four and other market-beating strategies

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To: Paul Shread who started this subject7/28/2002 7:10:53 PM
From: llackey   of 82
 
Current list of all S&P MidCap 400 stocks under either 10 Yr downside or 5 Yr downside targets based on the method outlined in "Trouncing The Dow". Sorted by Price/10 Yr downside target. Column headings are explained at Message 17075366 and Message 17427057

Price 10Yr 10Yr Price/ 5Yr 5Yr Price/ 04-06 04-06 EPS Buff. Altman
Ticker Update 7/26 Down Up 10YDwn Down Up 5Y Dwn Down Up Growth Value Z Scr Ind. Name

ILA 7/5 5.15 12.23 17.11 -58% 10.92 17.00 -53% 17.95 25.11 -38% 16.98 N/A UTILCENT Aquila, Inc.
MENT 5/31 7.391 16.91 37.76 -56% 15.53 37.38 -52% 23.97 53.53 113% 25.47 3.64 SOFTWARE Mentor Graphics
TDS 7/5 55 124.95 205.43 -56% N/A N/A N/A 210.48 346.05 -8% 63.21 0.90 TELESERV Telephone & Data Systems
BRL 7/26 54.21 111.58 262.56 -51% 89.75 218.57 -40% 136.29 320.71 -12% 84.91 11.61 DRUG Barr Laboratories
CNL 7/5 11.86 19.52 26.05 -39% 19.28 27.71 -38% 25.17 33.59 10% 29.25 N/A UTILCENT Cleco Corp. Hldg. Co
BKS 5/17 20.25 32.94 64.62 -39% 29.22 62.84 -31% 69.30 135.96 55% N/A 2.89 RETAILSP Barnes & Noble
LNT 7/5 18.66 29.15 36.33 -36% 29.51 38.23 -37% 36.06 44.95 18% -10.38 N/A UTILCENT Alliant Energy
OCR 7/5 19.47 30.22 60.09 -36% 27.00 55.03 -28% 45.02 89.53 40% 32.08 2.61 DRUGSTOR Omnicare, Inc.
CDN 5/31 11.28 16.22 38.68 -30% 25.64 61.30 -56% 27.40 65.33 26% 26.42 4.40 SOFTWARE Cadence Design Systems
WEC 7/5 23.92 34.27 43.67 -30% 36.77 50.04 -35% 38.36 48.89 19% 1.89 N/A UTILCENT Wisconsin Energy
DST 5/31 32.5 44.84 87.86 -28% 40.72 84.10 -20% 78.26 153.35 16% 27.36 3.22 SOFTWARE DST Systems Inc.
TSN 5/10 13.2 18.04 27.91 -27% 20.72 33.58 -36% 36.88 57.06 45% 22.64 2.28 FOODPROC Tyson Foods
GXP 7/5 18.52 24.89 30.73 -26% 26.16 32.16 -29% 31.06 38.34 28% 47.17 N/A UTILCENT Great Plains Energy Inc.
RDA 5/24 16 21.12 32.72 -24% 20.48 37.80 -22% 37.19 57.62 43% 21.70 2.69 PUBLISH Readers Digest Assoc.
OHP 6/28 38.83 50.69 119.80 -23% N/A N/A N/A 72.15 170.53 14% 66.04 6.44 MEDSERV Oxford Health Plans
POM 6/7 18.4 23.32 30.43 -21% 22.88 30.44 -20% 29.89 39.01 38% 29.25 N/A UTILEAST Potomac Electric Power
ALE 7/5 21.69 27.36 36.54 -21% 25.12 35.98 -14% 39.52 52.78 42% 16.04 N/A UTILCENT Allete, Inc.
GVA 7/12 17.43 21.48 39.03 -19% 18.44 34.39 -5% 39.46 71.69 57% 7.55 4.69 BUILDING Granite Construction
PZZA 6/14 31.01 37.91 70.10 -18% 31.37 57.21 -1% 50.78 93.91 9% 39.62 4.87 RESTRNT Papa John's Int'l.
PETM 5/17 14 17.10 42.19 -18% 10.79 40.80 30% 36.75 90.67 13% N/A 5.09 RETAILSP PETsMART
RE 6/28 49.23 60.06 110.29 -18% 51.09 100.56 -4% 91.08 167.26 152% N/A 0.27 INSPRPTY Everest Re Group
SFD 5/10 16.15 19.69 38.69 -18% 15.78 32.68 2% 27.60 54.22 18% 39.62 3.22 FOODPROC Smithfield Foods
DQE 6/7 12.72 15.21 21.53 -16% 19.68 29.77 -35% 20.76 29.38 250% 22.64 N/A UTILEAST DQE, Inc.
SCHL 5/24 36.23 43.03 74.20 -16% 48.06 92.67 -25% 67.26 115.98 23% 50.94 2.81 PUBLISH Scholastic Corp.
SSSS 5/3 13.61 15.95 30.45 -15% 16.79 37.08 -19% 48.38 92.37 84% 6.60 3.72 MACHINE Stewart & Stevenson Services
SNPS 5/31 41.43 48.30 95.16 -14% 38.67 81.11 7% 95.09 187.35 96% 32.08 3.90 SOFTWARE Synopsys Inc.
YRK 5/3 30.55 35.57 53.62 -14% 28.71 49.71 6% 65.86 99.28 46% 50.00 2.28 MACHINE York International
DOL 5/10 28.36 32.98 55.32 -14% 30.33 56.66 -7% 44.16 74.07 7% 6.60 2.48 FOODPROC Dole Foods
IDA 5/17 23.75 27.22 37.71 -13% 24.48 36.54 -3% 31.93 44.24 -23% 10.38 N/A UTILWEST IDACORP Inc. Hldg. Co.
FMER 6/28 22.25 25.43 38.04 -12% 24.74 38.99 -10% 38.81 58.07 13% N/A N/A BANKMID FirstMerit Corp.
GMT 5/3 24.31 27.48 42.51 -12% 28.99 50.19 -16% 42.77 66.15 737% -303.77 0.62 DIVERSIF GATX Corp.
MTX 6/21 36.32 40.94 61.78 -11% 36.12 56.85 1% 69.33 104.62 12% 55.66 2.74 CHEMSPEC Minerals Technologies
PRGO 7/26 11.03 12.39 24.45 -11% 12.04 23.47 -8% 18.90 37.30 -2% 12.26 4.86 DRUG Perrigo Co.
BKH 5/17 24 26.95 42.26 -11% 25.04 43.76 -4% 36.75 57.63 -8% -61.32 N/A UTILWEST Black Hills
AOT 6/7 17.9 19.99 32.91 -10% 21.72 36.84 -18% 37.06 61.02 27% 26.42 2.25 MEDSUPPL Apogent Technologies
BGP 5/17 16.72 18.63 38.32 -10% 18.15 37.60 -8% 31.05 63.87 10% N/A 2.75 RETAILSP Borders Group
NMGA 5/17 28 31.14 58.04 -10% 17.01 33.30 65% 62.67 116.82 54% N/A 3.41 RETAIL Neiman-Marcus Group 'A'
PAS 5/10 14.35 15.95 22.95 -10% 20.66 32.85 -31% 25.74 37.04 60% 14.15 1.57 BEVERAGE PepsiAmericas, Inc.
KEA 5/31 7.96 8.80 22.19 -10% 8.63 22.59 -8% 38.09 96.04 90% 12.26 4.14 SOFTWARE Keane Inc.
AFC 6/28 27.15 29.74 50.17 -9% 30.82 55.01 -12% 47.98 80.95 5% N/A 0.05 INSPRPTY Allmerica Financial
PHSY 6/28 22.59 24.73 56.76 -9% 24.22 63.82 -7% 33.75 77.46 57% 64.15 2.66 MEDSERV PacifiCare Health Sys
TDW 5/24 25.65 28.00 55.31 -8% 21.70 47.65 18% 47.01 92.87 -2% -20.75 3.35 OILFIELD Tidewater Inc.
SCG 6/7 27.17 29.64 38.51 -8% 29.59 40.12 -8% 37.85 49.18 15% -35.85 N/A UTILEAST SCANA Corp. (New)
NYCB 7/26 27 29.32 52.12 -8% 29.96 54.39 -10% 44.43 78.97 33% N/A N/A THRIFT New York Community Bank
MDU 5/17 20.16 21.74 32.70 -7% 20.81 34.49 -3% 30.54 45.93 5% 5.66 N/A UTILWEST MDU Resources
ICN 7/26 9.19 9.90 23.37 -7% 15.93 39.09 -42% 24.64 58.16 -27% 22.64 1.73 DRUG ICN Pharmaceuticals
PCP 6/28 24.95 26.87 55.48 -7% 20.95 47.29 19% 34.38 70.97 -13% 54.72 1.90 DEFENSE Precision Castparts
HCC 6/28 20.72 22.31 42.83 -7% 21.87 41.46 -5% 35.63 68.39 75% N/A 0.39 INSPRPTY HCC Insurance Holdings
PNM 5/17 19.2 20.59 30.72 -7% 18.36 29.23 5% 24.88 37.12 -8% -10.38 N/A UTILWEST PNM Resources, Inc.
EYE 6/7 7.78 8.33 33.79 -7% 6.81 29.26 14% 20.52 83.29 59% 9.43 8.08 MEDSUPPL VISX Inc.
ATG 6/21 20.73 22.18 29.47 -7% 22.73 30.83 -9% 29.73 39.50 -16% 0.00 0.61 GASDISTR AGL Resources Ltd.
SPW 5/3 100.5 107.43 220.97 -6% 92.10 195.82 9% 158.74 326.50 34% 133.96 1.52 DIVERSIF SPX Corp.
MBG 5/24 26.4 28.21 53.67 -6% 23.53 52.71 12% 57.45 109.30 53% 30.19 1.08 HOTELGAM Mandalay Resort Group
NFG 6/21 17.98 19.11 26.41 -6% 18.88 26.37 -5% 30.70 42.42 3% 28.30 0.93 GASDIVRS National Fuel Gas
EV 5/31 25.09 26.66 44.54 -6% 29.43 49.56 -15% 49.67 82.99 15% 62.26 4.99 FINANCL Eaton Vance
POS 6/14 26.22 27.70 49.16 -5% 26.54 48.13 -1% 57.50 102.05 24% 27.36 8.02 INDUSRV Catalina Marketing
CPRT 6/14 12.97 13.66 31.91 -5% 12.50 30.58 4% 28.99 67.69 21% -2.83 16.68 INDUSRV Copart, Inc.
TTN 7/19 10.78 11.34 42.47 -5% 8.92 38.61 21% N/A N/A 59% 13.21 1.86 ELECTRNX Titan Corp.
LEN 7/12 48.72 50.64 95.03 -4% 40.89 89.91 19% 86.56 162.45 8% N/A 2.46 HOMEBILD Lennar Corp.
GLT 7/12 15.78 16.20 24.19 -3% 13.67 21.60 15% 29.62 44.23 35% 21.70 1.60 PAPER Glatfelter
DPL 7/5 16.9 17.32 24.00 -2% 16.71 25.11 1% 24.76 34.32 9% 30.19 N/A UTILCENT DPL Incorporated
AFG 6/28 20.59 21.08 32.62 -2% 27.00 43.37 -24% 41.73 64.59 61% N/A 0.08 INSPRPTY American Financial Group Hldg.
UVV 5/10 33.73 34.50 55.01 -2% 26.23 44.42 29% 43.24 68.95 -13% 35.85 2.56 TOBACCO Universal Corp.
ASBC 6/28 33.59 34.13 49.89 -2% 35.59 54.99 -6% 56.20 82.15 8% N/A N/A BANKMID Associated Banc-Corp
FMC 5/3 23.7 24.06 36.64 -1% 27.27 46.83 -13% 28.75 43.78 8% 73.58 1.10 MACHINE FMC Corp.
ROL 6/14 19.21 19.34 27.57 -1% 37.53 55.50 -49% 25.66 36.59 14% 23.58 4.27 INDUSRV Rollins, Inc.
OGE 7/5 18.84 18.89 24.90 0% 18.82 25.40 0% 25.93 34.18 16% 11.32 N/A UTILCENT OGE Energy Corp.
WPS 7/5 34.5 33.99 44.75 2% 34.66 48.35 0% 41.57 54.73 2% -14.15 N/A UTILCENT WPS Resources
JKHY 5/31 13.67 12.33 26.25 11% 13.70 29.11 0% 28.09 59.81 29% 5.66 7.90 SOFTWARE Henry (Jack) & Assoc.
DRYR 5/10 67.2 56.38 103.96 19% 73.08 142.09 -8% 103.45 190.72 185% 23.58 8.01 FOODPROC Dreyer's Grand Ice Cream
BLC 5/24 20 12.98 19.66 54% 20.69 33.76 -3% 23.83 36.09 184% 23.58 0.99 ENTRTAIN Belo Corp.
DV 5/10 19.58 7.89 15.84 148% 26.04 53.69 -25% 12.78 25.65 15% 1.89 10.04 EDUC DeVRY Inc.
ICBC 7/26 27.67 N/A N/A N/A 27.87 48.31 -1% N/A N/A 25% N/A N/A THRIFT Independence Community Bank
FLS 5/3 16.61 N/A N/A N/A 22.94 39.85 -28% N/A N/A 48% 49.06 1.66 MACHINE Flowserve Corp.
VVI 5/3 20.92 N/A N/A N/A 21.75 32.50 -4% N/A N/A 11% 29.25 -0.33 DIVERSIF Viad Corp.
URI 5/3 13.6 N/A N/A N/A 18.12 43.69 -25% N/A N/A 58% 40.57 1.03 MACHINE United Rentals
MVSN 5/10 11.031 N/A N/A N/A 26.02 96.74 -58% N/A N/A 10% 15.09 14.85 ENT TECH Macrovision Corp.
BJ 5/17 34.94 N/A N/A N/A 35.95 57.15 -3% N/A N/A 17% N/A 6.57 RETAIL BJ's Wholesale Club
ISCA 5/24 36.49 N/A N/A N/A 45.02 80.30 -19% N/A N/A 27% 31.13 2.36 RECREATE International Speedway
PPE 5/24 7.8 N/A N/A N/A 8.91 15.87 -12% N/A N/A 107% 12.26 0.71 HOTELGAM Park Place Entertainment
PZB 5/24 21.6 N/A N/A N/A 22.09 37.11 -2% N/A N/A 43% 32.08 1.94 DIVERSIF Pittston Brink's Group
CSGS 6/14 15.06 N/A N/A N/A 27.56 66.82 -45% N/A N/A -1% 38.68 7.55 INDUSRV CSG Systems Int'l.
PWR 6/14 2.29 N/A N/A N/A 12.17 36.51 -81% N/A N/A 13% 26.42 1.62 INDUSRV Quanta Services
PLCM 7/5 10 N/A N/A N/A 13.99 49.45 -29% N/A N/A 57% 18.87 4.40 TELEQUIP Polycom Inc.

Benchmark Investing values for the Dow can be found at benchmarkinvesting.com under DJIA (Free) menu.

- Lee
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