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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group

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To: stockman_scott who wrote (35665)	8/1/2002 6:51:14 PM
From: Bilow	Read Replies (3) of 281500

Hi stockman_scott; I suspect you're right, and that the Democrats will pick up the House and a few more seats in the Senate. The stuff I see is that: Pro Democrat 2002: (1) The public seems to have a natural preference for divided government. (2) The economy is down. Pro Republican 2002: (1) In the presence of active foreign enemies, the public prefers Republicans. Overall, I'm guessing it won't be much, but if the stock market declines further in its traditional month of October, the GOP could lose the House. The effect on US foreign policy would be to decrease the freedom that the executive branch has to choose policy on its own. -- Carl

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