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Strategies & Market Trends : Dow Dogs, Foolish Four and other market-beating strategies

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To: Paul Shread who started this subject8/5/2002 12:00:58 AM
From: llackey   of 82
 
Current list of all S&P MidCap 400 stocks under either 10 Yr downside or 5 Yr downside targets based on the method outlined in "Trouncing The Dow". Sorted by Price/10 Yr downside target. Column headings are explained at Message 17075366 and Message 17427057

Price 10Yr 10Yr Price/ 5Yr 5Yr Price/ 04-06 04-06 EPS Buff. Altman
Ticker Update 8/2 Down Up 10YDwn Down Up 5Y Dwn Down Up Growth Value Z Scr Ind. Name

MENT 5/31 6.94 16.91 37.76 -59% 15.53 37.38 -55% 23.97 53.53 113% 25.91 3.41 SOFTWARE Mentor Graphics
TDS 7/5 54.05 124.95 205.43 -57% N/A N/A N/A 210.48 346.05 -8% 64.30 0.90 TELESERV Telephone & Data Systems
ILA 7/5 6.27 12.23 17.11 -49% 10.92 17.00 -43% 17.95 25.11 -38% 17.27 N/A UTILCENT Aquila, Inc.
BRL 7/26 58.71 111.58 262.56 -47% 89.75 218.57 -35% 136.29 320.71 -12% 86.37 12.82 DRUG Barr Laboratories
BKS 5/17 20.05 32.94 64.62 -39% 29.22 62.84 -31% 69.30 135.96 55% N/A 2.92 RETAILSP Barnes & Noble
LNT 7/5 18.28 29.15 36.33 -37% 29.51 38.23 -38% 36.06 44.95 32% -10.56 N/A UTILCENT Alliant Energy
TSN 5/10 12.32 18.04 27.91 -32% 20.72 33.58 -41% 36.88 57.06 28% 23.03 2.66 FOODPROC Tyson Foods
OCR 7/5 21.17 30.22 60.09 -30% 27.00 55.03 -22% 45.02 89.53 40% 32.63 2.68 DRUGSTOR Omnicare, Inc.
DST 5/31 32.65 44.84 87.86 -27% 40.72 84.10 -20% 78.26 153.35 17% 27.83 3.26 SOFTWARE DST Systems Inc.
WEC 7/5 24.99 34.27 43.67 -27% 36.77 50.04 -32% 38.36 48.89 14% 1.92 N/A UTILCENT Wisconsin Energy
CDN 5/31 11.97 16.22 38.68 -26% 25.64 61.30 -53% 27.40 65.33 26% 26.87 4.76 SOFTWARE Cadence Design Systems
RDA 5/24 15.79 21.12 32.72 -25% 20.48 37.80 -23% 37.19 57.62 43% 22.07 2.79 PUBLISH Readers Digest Assoc.
OHP 6/28 38.15 50.69 119.80 -25% N/A N/A N/A 72.15 170.53 14% 67.18 6.53 MEDSERV Oxford Health Plans
CNL 7/5 14.99 19.52 26.05 -23% 19.28 27.71 -22% 25.17 33.59 12% 29.75 N/A UTILCENT Cleco Corp. Hldg. Co
GXP 7/5 19.5 24.89 30.73 -22% 26.16 32.16 -25% 31.06 38.34 29% 47.98 N/A UTILCENT Great Plains Energy Inc.
PZZA 6/14 29.91 37.91 70.10 -21% 31.37 57.21 -5% 50.78 93.91 9% 40.31 4.96 RESTRNT Papa John's Int'l.
GVA 7/12 17.38 21.48 39.03 -19% 18.44 34.39 -6% 39.46 71.69 57% 7.68 4.45 BUILDING Granite Construction
ALE 7/5 22.3 27.36 36.54 -19% 25.12 35.98 -11% 39.52 52.78 42% 16.31 N/A UTILCENT Allete, Inc.
AFC 6/28 24.31 29.74 50.17 -18% 30.82 55.01 -21% 47.98 80.95 5% N/A 0.06 INSPRPTY Allmerica Financial
PETM 5/17 14.04 17.10 42.19 -18% 10.79 40.80 30% 36.75 90.67 13% N/A 5.02 RETAILSP PETsMART
SNPS 5/31 40.24 48.30 95.16 -17% 38.67 81.11 4% 95.09 187.35 96% 32.63 3.89 SOFTWARE Synopsys Inc.
NMG/A 5/17 26 31.14 58.04 -17% 17.01 33.30 53% 62.67 116.82 54% N/A 3.46 RETAIL Neiman-Marcus Group 'A'
SSSS 8/2 13.42 15.78 30.14 -15% 16.61 36.70 -19% 40.99 78.26 82% 11.52 3.76 MACHINE Stewart & Stevenson Services
POM 6/7 19.88 23.32 30.43 -15% 22.88 30.44 -13% 29.89 39.01 41% 29.75 N/A UTILEAST Potomac Electric Power
SFD 5/10 16.83 19.64 38.59 -14% 15.76 32.64 7% 27.53 54.08 18% 40.31 2.94 FOODPROC Smithfield Foods
YRK 8/2 30.14 35.04 52.82 -14% 28.29 48.97 7% 62.55 94.29 42% 50.86 2.31 MACHINE York International
PRGO 7/26 10.75 12.39 24.45 -13% 12.04 23.47 -11% 18.90 37.30 -2% 12.48 4.91 DRUG Perrigo Co.
RE 6/28 52.22 60.06 110.29 -13% 51.09 100.56 2% 91.08 167.26 149% N/A 0.30 INSPRPTY Everest Re Group
KEA 5/31 7.67 8.80 22.19 -13% 8.63 22.59 -11% 38.09 96.04 142% 12.48 4.21 SOFTWARE Keane Inc.
DQE 6/7 13.28 15.21 21.53 -13% 19.68 29.77 -33% 20.76 29.38 250% 23.03 N/A UTILEAST DQE, Inc.
LEN 7/12 44.22 50.64 95.03 -13% 40.89 89.91 8% 86.56 162.45 8% N/A 2.46 HOMEBILD Lennar Corp.
GLT 7/12 14.17 16.20 24.19 -13% 13.67 21.60 4% 29.62 44.23 35% 22.07 1.56 PAPER Glatfelter
TDW 5/24 24.53 28.00 55.31 -12% 21.70 47.65 13% 47.01 92.87 20% -21.11 3.56 OILFIELD Tidewater Inc.
SPW 8/2 98.5 112.36 231.10 -12% 96.32 204.80 2% 152.51 313.68 33% 176.58 1.56 DIVERSIF SPX Corp.
SCHL 5/24 37.74 43.03 74.20 -12% 48.06 92.67 -21% 67.26 115.98 23% 51.82 2.90 PUBLISH Scholastic Corp.
MTX 6/21 35.95 40.94 61.78 -12% 36.12 56.85 0% 69.33 104.62 12% 56.62 2.75 CHEMSPEC Minerals Technologies
DOL 5/10 29.05 32.98 55.32 -12% 30.33 56.66 -4% 44.16 74.07 7% 6.72 2.53 FOODPROC Dole Foods
PAS 5/10 14.14 15.95 22.95 -11% 20.66 32.85 -32% 25.74 37.04 41% 14.40 1.66 BEVERAGE PepsiAmericas, Inc.
BGP 5/17 16.63 18.63 38.32 -11% 18.15 37.60 -8% 31.05 63.87 10% N/A 2.81 RETAILSP Borders Group
AEOS 5/17 15.17 16.92 48.31 -10% 14.82 41.71 2% 30.12 86.01 17% N/A 7.70 RETAILSP American Eagle Outfitters
FMER 6/28 22.9 25.43 38.04 -10% 24.74 38.99 -7% 38.81 58.07 13% N/A N/A BANKMID FirstMerit Corp.
BKH 5/17 24.34 26.95 42.26 -10% 25.04 43.76 -3% 36.75 57.63 33% -62.38 N/A UTILWEST Black Hills
IDA 5/17 24.7 27.22 37.71 -9% 24.48 36.54 1% 31.93 44.24 9% 10.56 N/A UTILWEST IDACORP Inc. Hldg. Co.
PCP 6/28 24.4 26.87 55.48 -9% 20.95 47.29 16% 34.38 70.97 -13% 55.66 1.94 DEFENSE Precision Castparts
EYE 6/7 7.75 8.33 33.79 -7% 6.81 29.26 14% 20.52 83.29 59% 9.60 8.57 MEDSUPPL VISX Inc.
CPRT 6/14 12.8 13.66 31.91 -6% 12.50 30.58 2% 28.99 67.69 21% -2.88 17.99 INDUSRV Copart, Inc.
NYCB 7/26 27.51 29.32 52.12 -6% 29.96 54.39 -8% 44.43 78.97 33% N/A N/A THRIFT New York Community Bank
MBG 5/24 26.5 28.21 53.67 -6% 23.53 52.71 13% 57.45 109.30 53% 30.71 1.11 HOTELGAM Mandalay Resort Group
SCG 6/7 27.96 29.64 38.51 -6% 29.59 40.12 -6% 37.85 49.18 13% -36.47 N/A UTILEAST SCANA Corp. (New)
EV 5/31 25.26 26.66 44.54 -5% 29.43 49.56 -14% 49.67 82.99 15% 63.34 5.18 FINANCL Eaton Vance
AIN 8/2 22.13 23.25 36.64 -5% 17.95 30.31 23% 36.54 57.58 35% 39.35 2.21 MACHINE Albany International
PNM 5/17 19.65 20.59 30.72 -5% 18.36 29.23 7% 24.88 37.12 38% -10.56 N/A UTILWEST PNM Resources, Inc.
AOT 6/7 19.1 19.99 32.91 -4% 21.72 36.84 -12% 37.06 61.02 21% 26.87 2.35 MEDSUPPL Apogent Technologies
HCC 6/28 21.55 22.31 42.83 -3% 21.87 41.46 -1% 35.63 68.39 75% N/A 0.42 INSPRPTY HCC Insurance Holdings
POS 6/14 26.91 27.70 49.16 -3% 26.54 48.13 1% 57.50 102.05 24% 27.83 8.59 INDUSRV Catalina Marketing
ATG 6/21 21.58 22.18 29.47 -3% 22.73 30.83 -5% 29.73 39.50 25% 0.00 0.56 GASDISTR AGL Resources Ltd.
ICN 7/26 9.7 9.90 23.37 -2% 15.93 39.09 -39% 24.64 58.16 -27% 23.03 1.83 DRUG ICN Pharmaceuticals
TTN 7/19 11.25 11.34 42.47 -1% 8.92 38.61 26% N/A N/A 59% 13.44 1.90 ELECTRNX Titan Corp.
PHSY 6/28 24.53 24.73 56.76 -1% 24.22 63.82 1% 33.75 77.46 57% 65.26 2.67 MEDSERV PacifiCare Health Sys
NFG 6/21 18.96 19.11 26.41 -1% 18.88 26.37 0% 30.70 42.42 14% 28.79 1.00 GASDIVRS National Fuel Gas
GPT 7/26 45.04 45.40 80.02 -1% 44.11 78.41 2% 57.32 101.04 3% N/A N/A THRIFT Greenpoint Financial Corp.
ASBC 6/28 34.09 34.13 49.89 0% 35.59 54.99 -4% 56.20 82.15 8% N/A N/A BANKMID Associated Banc-Corp
ROL 6/14 19.65 19.34 27.57 2% 37.53 55.50 -48% 25.66 36.59 14% 23.99 4.33 INDUSRV Rollins, Inc.
AFG 6/28 22.78 21.08 32.62 8% 27.00 43.37 -16% 41.73 64.59 44% N/A 0.09 INSPRPTY American Financial Group Hldg.
DRYR 5/10 68 56.38 103.96 21% 73.08 142.09 -7% 103.45 190.72 185% 23.99 8.00 FOODPROC Dreyer's Grand Ice Cream
DV 5/10 18.57 7.89 15.84 135% 26.04 53.69 -29% 12.78 25.65 15% 1.92 10.41 EDUC DeVRY Inc.
FLS 8/2 16.22 N/A N/A N/A 20.60 35.79 -21% N/A N/A 27% 45.11 1.73 MACHINE Flowserve Corp.
URI 8/2 13.16 N/A N/A N/A 16.48 39.72 -20% N/A N/A 34% -0.96 1.04 MACHINE United Rentals
MVSN 5/10 10.19 N/A N/A N/A 26.02 96.74 -61% N/A N/A 20% 15.36 15.30 ENT TECH Macrovision Corp.
BJ 5/17 31.7 N/A N/A N/A 35.95 57.15 -12% N/A N/A 17% N/A 6.55 RETAIL BJ's Wholesale Club
PZB 5/24 22.02 N/A N/A N/A 22.09 37.11 0% N/A N/A 20% 32.63 0.49 DIVERSIF Pittston Brink's Group
ISCA 5/24 35.61 N/A N/A N/A 45.02 80.30 -21% N/A N/A 27% 31.67 2.38 RECREATE International Speedway
PPE 5/24 8.73 N/A N/A N/A 8.91 15.87 -2% N/A N/A 79% 12.48 0.75 HOTELGAM Park Place Entertainment
CSGS 6/14 10.3 N/A N/A N/A 27.56 66.82 -63% N/A N/A 8% 39.35 6.76 INDUSRV CSG Systems Int'l.
PWR 6/14 2.1 N/A N/A N/A 12.17 36.51 -83% N/A N/A 13% 26.87 1.59 INDUSRV Quanta Services
PLCM 7/5 11.32 N/A N/A N/A 13.99 49.45 -19% N/A N/A 57% 19.19 4.84 TELEQUIP Polycom Inc.

Benchmark Investing values for the Dow can be found at benchmarkinvesting.com under DJIA (Free) menu.

- Lee
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