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Politics : Stockman Scott's Political Debate Porch

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To: stockman_scott who wrote (3927)8/5/2002 3:07:07 PM
From: Jim Willie CB  Read Replies (1) of 89467
 
decision time for USdollar, standing at the crossroads

dollar is at 107.2
last Thursday it peaked at almost 108 flat

its rapidly descending 50dayMA is now at 108.18

this bounce has taken it from 103.5 to 107.9

its 20dayMA has flattened out within 105.50 - 105.90
and now the 20MA has begun to turn down slightly

crossroads: will USdollar be rebuffed at 50MA ???
I think so
Europeans largely hold the answer in their hands
in July their message was simple and clear
"if US stocks cannot rebound, if the US economy does not recover, then Europeans will be selling dollarized financial assets when August and September arrive"

stocks are not rebounding
economy is not recovering
hold on, big declines are coming
and this time, the losses might also come in TBonds
this development will unnerve the whole market
and send safehaven seeking money into gold
/ jim
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