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Strategies & Market Trends : Booms, Busts, and Recoveries

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To: TobagoJack who wrote (22500)8/11/2002 12:36:11 PM
From: Mark Adams  Read Replies (1) of 74559
 
because interest cost is low, still, unnaturally.

I agree, and yet in the US, it is suddenly quite fashionable to call for even lower rates. Per the Weldon piece, the average inflation rate over the next ten years priced into the USTreasuries is a mere 1.3%. I think I heard that demand for non indexed 10yrs is drying up at these rates.

I realize the investment banks might be trying to get everyone on board the bond mini bull, desiring to push things to extreme, before the next swing kicks in. I realize that players might be rebuilding balance sheets, borrowing at 1.5% and lending at 4-21%, depending on the borrower. I realize that real interest rates need to be lower than the real growth rate, lest the interest burden prove unsustainable long term. But dropping fed funds to 1%? Clearly a Japan script if they are honestly expecting that.

income earning real estate in chosen locations.

That Thailand beachfront property sounds pretty nice to me. <g>
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