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Strategies & Market Trends : Dow Dogs, Foolish Four and other market-beating strategies

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To: Paul Shread who started this subject8/12/2002 12:16:20 AM
From: llackey   of 82
 
Current list of all S&P MidCap 400 stocks under either 10 Yr downside or 5 Yr downside targets based on the method outlined in "Trouncing The Dow". Sorted by Price/10 Yr downside target. Column headings are explained at Message 17075366 and Message 17427057

Price 10Yr 10Yr Price/ 5Yr 5Yr Price/ 04-06 04-06 EPS Buff. Altman
Ticker Update 8/9 Down Up 10YDwn Down Up 5Y Dwn Down Up Growth Value Z Scr Ind. Name

ILA 7/5 4.94 12.23 17.11 -60% 10.92 17.00 -55% 17.95 25.11 -38% 17.27 N/A UTILCENT Aquila, Inc.
MENT 5/31 7.09 16.91 37.76 -58% 15.53 37.38 -54% 23.97 53.53 113% 25.91 3.27 SOFTWARE Mentor Graphics
TDS 7/5 53.4 124.95 205.43 -57% N/A N/A N/A 210.48 346.05 -8% 64.30 0.87 TELESERV Telephone & Data Systems
BRL 7/26 63.95 111.58 262.56 -43% 89.75 218.57 -29% 136.29 320.71 -12% 86.37 12.77 DRUG Barr Laboratories
BKS 5/17 20.05 32.94 64.62 -39% 29.22 62.84 -31% 69.30 135.96 55% N/A 2.89 RETAILSP Barnes & Noble
LNT 7/5 18.85 29.15 36.33 -35% 29.51 38.23 -36% 36.06 44.95 32% -10.56 N/A UTILCENT Alliant Energy
TSN 8/9 11.43 17.10 26.46 -33% 19.64 31.83 -42% 37.61 58.18 18% 23.03 2.65 FOODPROC Tyson Foods
DST 5/31 32.63 44.84 87.86 -27% 40.72 84.10 -20% 78.26 153.35 17% 27.83 3.17 SOFTWARE DST Systems Inc.
OCR 7/5 22.17 30.22 60.09 -27% 27.00 55.03 -18% 45.02 89.53 32% 32.63 2.75 DRUGSTOR Omnicare, Inc.
WEC 7/5 25.42 34.27 43.67 -26% 36.77 50.04 -31% 38.36 48.89 13% 1.92 N/A UTILCENT Wisconsin Energy
OHP 6/28 38.36 50.69 119.80 -24% N/A N/A N/A 72.15 170.53 11% 67.18 6.20 MEDSERV Oxford Health Plans
RDA 5/24 16.62 21.12 32.72 -21% 20.48 37.80 -19% 37.19 57.62 29% 22.07 2.77 PUBLISH Readers Digest Assoc.
CNL 7/5 15.42 19.52 26.05 -21% 19.28 27.71 -20% 25.17 33.59 12% 29.75 N/A UTILCENT Cleco Corp. Hldg. Co
CDN 5/31 12.82 16.22 38.68 -21% 25.64 61.30 -50% 27.40 65.33 26% 26.87 4.62 SOFTWARE Cadence Design Systems
SSSS 8/2 12.552 15.78 30.14 -20% 16.61 36.70 -24% 40.99 78.26 82% 11.52 3.64 MACHINE Stewart & Stevenson Services
PZZA 6/14 30.45 37.91 70.10 -20% 31.37 57.21 -3% 50.78 93.91 9% 40.31 4.91 RESTRNT Papa John's Int'l.
DOL 8/9 28.46 35.32 59.26 -19% 32.49 60.69 -12% 46.54 78.07 14% 7.68 2.54 FOODPROC Dole Foods
PRGO 7/26 9.99 12.39 24.45 -19% 12.04 23.47 -17% 18.90 37.30 -10% 12.48 4.53 DRUG Perrigo Co.
GXP 7/5 20.32 24.89 30.73 -18% 26.16 32.16 -22% 31.06 38.34 29% 47.98 N/A UTILCENT Great Plains Energy Inc.
AFC 6/28 25.02 29.74 50.17 -16% 30.82 55.01 -19% 47.98 80.95 119% N/A 0.05 INSPRPTY Allmerica Financial
GLT 7/12 13.74 16.20 24.19 -15% 13.67 21.60 1% 29.62 44.23 58% 22.07 1.53 PAPER Glatfelter
SNPS 5/31 41.2 48.30 95.16 -15% 38.67 81.11 7% 95.09 187.35 96% 32.63 3.77 SOFTWARE Synopsys Inc.
CPRT 6/14 11.68 13.66 31.91 -15% 12.50 30.58 -7% 28.99 67.69 21% -2.88 16.47 INDUSRV Copart, Inc.
NMG/A 5/17 26.68 31.14 58.04 -14% 17.01 33.30 57% 62.67 116.82 54% N/A 3.40 RETAIL Neiman-Marcus Group 'A'
GVA 7/12 18.71 21.48 39.03 -13% 18.44 34.39 1% 39.46 71.69 57% 7.68 4.42 BUILDING Granite Construction
PAS 8/9 14 15.95 22.95 -12% 20.66 32.85 -32% 25.74 37.04 39% 14.40 1.65 BEVERAGE PepsiAmericas, Inc.
ALE 7/5 24.12 27.36 36.54 -12% 25.12 35.98 -4% 39.52 52.78 42% 16.31 N/A UTILCENT Allete, Inc.
SPW 8/2 99.2 112.36 231.10 -12% 96.32 204.80 3% 152.51 313.68 33% 176.58 1.53 DIVERSIF SPX Corp.
PETM 5/17 15.1 17.10 42.19 -12% 10.79 40.80 40% 36.75 90.67 13% N/A 5.06 RETAILSP PETsMART
POM 6/7 20.65 23.32 30.43 -11% 22.88 30.44 -10% 29.89 39.01 41% 29.75 N/A UTILEAST Pepco Holdings Inc.
RE 6/28 53.63 60.06 110.29 -11% 51.09 100.56 5% 91.08 167.26 149% N/A 0.29 INSPRPTY Everest Re Group
EYE 6/7 7.48 8.33 33.79 -10% 6.81 29.26 10% 20.52 83.29 59% 9.60 8.06 MEDSUPPL VISX Inc.
YRK 8/2 31.81 35.04 52.82 -9% 28.29 48.97 12% 62.55 94.29 42% 50.86 2.30 MACHINE York International
DQE 6/7 13.93 15.21 21.53 -8% 19.68 29.77 -29% 20.76 29.38 144% 23.03 N/A UTILEAST DQE, Inc.
PCP 6/28 25.17 26.87 55.48 -6% 20.95 47.29 20% 34.38 70.97 -13% 55.66 1.92 DEFENSE Precision Castparts
FMER 6/28 23.91 25.43 38.04 -6% 24.74 38.99 -3% 38.81 58.07 13% N/A N/A BANKMID FirstMerit Corp.
AEOS 5/17 15.95 16.92 48.31 -6% 14.82 41.71 8% 30.12 86.01 17% N/A 7.23 RETAILSP American Eagle Outfitters
KEA 5/31 8.3 8.80 22.19 -6% 8.63 22.59 -4% 38.09 96.04 142% 12.48 3.99 SOFTWARE Keane Inc.
MTX 6/21 38.64 40.94 61.78 -6% 36.12 56.85 7% 69.33 104.62 12% 56.62 2.74 CHEMSPEC Minerals Technologies
LEN 7/12 48.15 50.64 95.03 -5% 40.89 89.91 18% 86.56 162.45 8% N/A 2.40 HOMEBILD Lennar Corp.
ATG 6/21 21.14 22.18 29.47 -5% 22.73 30.83 -7% 29.73 39.50 25% 0.00 0.55 GASDISTR AGL Resources Ltd.
IDA 5/17 26 27.22 37.71 -4% 24.48 36.54 6% 31.93 44.24 9% 10.56 N/A UTILWEST IDACORP Inc. Hldg. Co.
SCHL 5/24 41.18 43.03 74.20 -4% 48.06 92.67 -14% 67.26 115.98 23% 51.82 2.93 PUBLISH Scholastic Corp.
BKH 5/17 25.87 26.95 42.26 -4% 25.04 43.76 3% 36.75 57.63 33% -62.38 N/A UTILWEST Black Hills
TDW 5/24 27 28.00 55.31 -4% 21.70 47.65 24% 47.01 92.87 20% -21.11 3.32 OILFIELD Tidewater Inc.
BGP 5/17 18.01 18.63 38.32 -3% 18.15 37.60 -1% 31.05 63.87 10% N/A 2.78 RETAILSP Borders Group
TTN 7/19 10.99 11.34 42.47 -3% 8.92 38.61 23% N/A N/A 59% 13.44 1.86 ELECTRNX Titan Corp.
SCG 6/7 28.77 29.64 38.51 -3% 29.59 40.12 -3% 37.85 49.18 13% -36.47 N/A UTILEAST SCANA Corp. (New)
PNM 5/17 20.1 20.59 30.72 -2% 18.36 29.23 9% 24.88 37.12 38% -10.56 N/A UTILWEST PNM Resources, Inc.
PHSY 6/28 24.23 24.73 56.76 -2% 24.22 63.82 0% 33.75 77.46 52% 65.26 2.61 MEDSERV PacifiCare Health Sys
GTK 5/24 18.7 18.75 33.78 0% 14.35 24.35 30% 39.82 71.72 9% 16.79 2.81 HOTELGAM GTECH Holdings Corp.
EV 5/31 26.61 26.66 44.54 0% 29.43 49.56 -10% 49.67 82.99 15% 63.34 5.04 FINANCL Eaton Vance
AOT 6/7 19.95 19.99 32.91 0% 21.72 36.84 -8% 37.06 61.02 21% 26.87 2.33 MEDSUPPL Apogent Technologies
HSP 5/24 17.35 17.33 47.06 0% 18.25 50.63 -5% 45.23 122.84 33% 6.72 8.60 ENTRTAIN Hispanic Broadcasting
ASBC 6/28 35.06 34.13 49.89 3% 35.59 54.99 -1% 56.20 82.15 8% N/A N/A BANKMID Associated Banc-Corp
ROL 6/14 20.02 19.34 27.57 4% 37.53 55.50 -47% 25.66 36.59 14% 23.99 4.30 INDUSRV Rollins, Inc.
ICN 7/26 10.68 9.90 23.37 8% 15.93 39.09 -33% 24.64 58.16 -13% 23.03 1.84 DRUG ICN Pharmaceuticals
AFG 6/28 25.22 21.08 32.62 20% 27.00 43.37 -7% 41.73 64.59 44% N/A 0.09 INSPRPTY American Financial Group Hldg.
BLC 5/24 20.51 12.98 19.66 58% 20.69 33.76 -1% 23.83 36.09 83% 23.99 1.03 ENTRTAIN Belo Corp.
DV 8/9 17.82 7.89 15.84 126% 26.04 53.69 -32% 12.77 25.64 12% 1.92 9.64 EDUC DeVRY Inc.
MVSN 8/9 10.81 N/A N/A N/A 20.38 75.77 -47% N/A N/A -3% 12.48 15.37 ENT TECH Macrovision Corp.
BJ 5/17 26.55 N/A N/A N/A 35.95 57.15 -26% N/A N/A 17% N/A 6.45 RETAIL BJ's Wholesale Club
ISCA 5/24 36.51 N/A N/A N/A 45.02 80.30 -19% N/A N/A 27% 31.67 2.33 RECREATE International Speedway
CSGS 6/14 10.74 N/A N/A N/A 27.56 66.82 -61% N/A N/A 8% 39.35 6.53 INDUSRV CSG Systems Int'l.
PWR 6/14 2.13 N/A N/A N/A 12.17 36.51 -82% N/A N/A 13% 26.87 1.60 INDUSRV Quanta Services
PLCM 7/5 11.09 N/A N/A N/A 13.99 49.45 -21% N/A N/A 57% 19.19 4.74 TELEQUIP Polycom Inc.
FLS 8/2 17.38 N/A N/A N/A 20.60 35.79 -16% N/A N/A 27% 45.11 1.72 MACHINE Flowserve Corp.
URI 8/2 13.5 N/A N/A N/A 16.48 39.72 -18% N/A N/A 34% -0.96 1.02 MACHINE United Rentals

Benchmark Investing values for the Dow can be found at benchmarkinvesting.com under DJIA (Free) menu. BI stats for the S&P 500, S&P 100 and Dow can be found at benchmarkinvesting.com

- Lee
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