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Strategies & Market Trends : Classic TA Workplace

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To: Paul Shread who wrote (50136)	8/15/2002 9:49:02 AM
From: Les H	Read Replies (1) of 209892

September 24, 1998. VIX low was 31 and actual volatility was 45. November 16, 1987. VIX low was 47 and actual volatility was 60. Historical volatility would probably decline on a consolidation or a retest of the lows, whether partial or full. I think you know both of these cases were precursors to retests of major lows. This bottom made it into second place on the historical volatility to 1987. I only have data back to 1970. 73-74 lows and 82 lows had relatively low volatility to 87, 98, 01, and 02. Looks like another headfake this morning with Dow/Naz negative but the SPX positive.

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