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Politics : Stockman Scott's Political Debate Porch

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To: Jim Willie CB who wrote (4612)8/15/2002 1:39:20 PM
From: stockman_scott  Read Replies (1) of 89467
 
Oil climbs amid OPEC output hike uncertainty

LONDON, Aug 15 (Reuters) - Oil prices climbed to three-month
highs on Thursday after OPEC's president said a production hike
was not certain when the cartel meets next month.
International benchmark Brent crude oil was up 63 cents at
$26.58 a barrel while U.S. light crude futures stood 63 cents
higher at $28.78.
Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries ministers
are preparing for a crucial meeting on September 19 in Japan to
set production policy for the fourth quarter.
OPEC officials sent out mixed signals on Thursday.
OPEC President Rilwanu Lukman, who is also the Nigerian
Presidential Adviser on Petroleum and Energy, said it was "not
yet certain" whether the meeting will decide to raise output.
He told Reuters in Abuja the cartel was comfortable with
current oil prices and had no plans to alter its target price
band of $22-$28 a barrel at its meeting and will not allow oil
prices to climb to $30 a barrel.
"There is no intention to change our target price," Lukman
said. "Our range is between $22 and $28. We are still
comfortable."
"We will not allow it to go to $30. Thirty dollars will be
too much. That is not good for anybody," he added.
But a senior OPEC delegate said earlier that the exporters
group remains on course to relax supply curbs when it meets in
September as bullish oil market fundamentals outweigh concerns
over the global economic slowdown.
"Current supply-and-demand forecasts suggest the need for an
increase from October until the end of March 2003 -- but we will
make the final judgment in September," the delegate from an
influential producer state said.
"OPEC wants to make sure the market is balanced and there
are no shortages from the fourth quarter through the first
quarter of next year."
The delegate's comments came after OPEC Secretary-General
Alvaro Silva moved on Wednesday to dampen expectations of a
supply rise, saying the decision would be left until the
September talks.
Speculation over an expected U.S. military campaign to
topple Iraqi leader Saddam Hussein has also been supporting oil
prices in recent weeks.
But markets did not react to Thursday's comments by White
House National Security Adviser Condoleezza Rice that the United
States has no choice but to take action against Iraqi President
Saddam Hussein.
"The market seems to be getting de-sensitised to the U.S.
gesturing," said Nauman Barakat, energy analyst at FIMAT in
London.
((London newsroom +44 20 7542-8185, fax +44 20 7542 4453,
london.energy.desk@reuters.com))
REUTERS
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