From here on (and perhaps after a brief profit taking), SUNW will be a high flyer just like MSFT started being about 4 years ago. The difference SUNW has with MSFT and INTC, is the fact that SUNW is monopolizing the market through openness, and Wintel's has been through proprietary notions. Just like I said once before similar to Communism VS. Capitalism with Communism being Wintel, and Capitalism being SUNW!
As for Microsoft, I think in my opinion, they will soon realize that as a software company, like I have said it in the past, they have become a subsidiary of Sun Microsystems (similar to Sun's other subsudiary SunSoft)! Perhaps that is why they are shifting their attention to monoplizing the thin client architecture model via becoming heavily involved in media and other means of telecommunications (the rumor is still they are planning to buy CBS). Microsoft will continue to make money but it will not be through making the software, but rather building on the concept of how software can be used on thin client machines. As for Intel, they continue to enjoy a nice profit margin for a few more months before companies such as Cyrix and AMD end to its monopoly of the market. It is evolution process at its best and it is happening right in front of our eyes: The diminishment of Wintel by Sun Microsystems and its partners! It will be truly fascinating to see how the 2 big giants of the past decade come to see the end of their empire by the year 2000 (or at least diminished drastically) IF they are not quick enough to expand their business models. Microsoft is doing it (and perhaps soon it should be called MediaSoft), and Intel will (I think) soon be doing it through heavily getting into the networking arena.
Sun Microsystems is truly perhaps the wounder of the late 20th century next to HP, GE, Xerox and IBM.
I find it amazing that analysts at Prudentials with SUNW at $46/shr are saying what we all have been saying since SUNW of $22/shr: The one single best investment idea!
Regards,
Addi Jamshidi |