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Biotech / Medical : ROTC:Rotech medical

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To: David Lawrence who wrote (111)7/18/1997 2:34:00 AM
From: JohnSK   of 161
 
After having talked to Rotech IR several times in the last two weeks, having listened to a replay of the CC with analysts, studying various financials, and reading through this thread, I am still looking for a compelling reason why this merger is a good deal for ROTC shareholders.

The positives I have heard thus far are:

1) The growth rate for ROTC as an entity within IHS would be increased due to access to IHS customers and patients.

2) Since IHS is a larger company, access to capital would be improved.

3) Diversification: the effects of the Medicare reimbursement cuts would be more easily absorbed as part of a larger entity.

Regarding 1): In return for that higher growth, ROTC shareholders must take on the slower growing businesses that make up IHS, including the additional leverage, and lower profit margin.

Regarding 2): Given the debt level of IHS, I doubt this argument.

Regarding 3): Agreed, but it seems this is a short term issue. In the long term, all companies (including IHS) are going to continue to be squeezed by reduced reimbursements for services.

What am I missing? Why would WS punish IHS over this? Is it because they don't like the deal from the IHS viewpoint (am I underestimating the effect of the reimbursement cuts?), or perhaps do they believe that IHS is becoming over-extended in their business as well as their financials?

JohnSK
(long ROTC)
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