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Strategies & Market Trends : Booms, Busts, and Recoveries

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To: smolejv@gmx.net who wrote (22778)8/17/2002 10:07:01 PM
From: elmatador  Read Replies (1) of 74559
 
Compare that: The floodwaters swept over central and south Bohemia, Czech Republic (CZ) killing at least seven people and causing more than 1 billion Kc ($33 million) in damages.

Has the author of the SZ said how much damage the flood has done? No. The German author goes right up to the macroeconomic effects without saying nothing about the microeconomic effects.

The CZ Agriculture Ministry estimated that anti-flood measures would cost 30 billion Kc ($330million over the next 10 years.

How much in anti-flood measures will be spent over the next ten years in Germany? No word about it. It appears that the Czech guys are better at working the numbers than the Germans.

Owing to a more expensive cots base, plus the longer length of the rivers flooding its banks, I would say that multiplying the costs of CZ by 5 to get at the costs of Germany. Which will give us:
($160 million) in damages
($1.6billions over the next 10 years.

Even Uruguay could absorb this blow without scratching the economy's surface. Hence do not take serious any impact in the German economy due to the flood.

The economic impact will be only positive. Instead of keeping construction going by pulling up asphalt and putting stones. Or pulling up stones and putting asphalt, this one is a real construction works that once the German machine is put to work will make it real good for the next 100 years.

I just hope that they don't put not only bricks and cement. But also some sophisticated machinery so that Siemens can also get a cut of the money pot dedicated to these works.:-)
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