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Strategies & Market Trends : The New Economy and its Winners

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To: Sonny Blue who wrote (13519)	8/19/2002 11:21:59 AM
From: 16yearcycle	Read Replies (3) of 57684

I have been saying this for 2 years, but it goes on and on and on and it now clearly correlates better with the 30's market. If so, this is actually better than correlating it to 66-82, now that we are HERE. The market off the 32 low, went up 5-6x in 4 1/2 years. The big question is where does this huge rally start from: 7/25/02; later in the fall; or next spring? I dunno. I think the fall. Nevertheless, the 65-82 correlation is still strong too, at least with the sp. images.forbes.com And here is the last two years that we may be following: mrci.com It MAY be useful to be aware that demographics would suggest a peak in 2007, and if we continue to follow the 29-42 pattern, 1937 was the peak. However, my belief in demographics has hammered my returns...i felt that we would hold a higher valuation than normal into 2007 and then collapse. Either way, we are either correlating most highly with 1932 or 1970. The run from both time frames was mind boggling.

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