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Non-Tech : S&P Midcap 400 Portfolio (^MID, MDY)
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To: Londo who started this subject9/5/2002 2:59:34 AM
From: Londo  Read Replies (1) of 181
 
Fat-tailed event prediction: (and this one's a biggie):

I predict there will be a market crash (defined as a drop of 10% in a major market index, such as the S&P 500, DJIA, or Nasdaq 100/Nasdaq Composite in a single trading session) between September 15th to December 31st.

I know this is a HUGE 'time band' to work with, but it's the best I can do for now.
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