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Strategies & Market Trends : Bob Brinker: Market Savant & Radio Host
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To: Tim Bagwell who wrote (16703)9/5/2002 4:01:34 PM
From: geode00  Read Replies (1) of 42834
 
Another perspective on the QQQ trade. From the 22 level of the Q's today and at the historical average growth rate of 11% for the S&P500 it would take Bob's trader friends 14 years to break even.

Now figure that the opportunity cost of not having this money to invest is 6% per year (average rate on a 30year T-bond) and the break even time jumps to 36 years!

Nice analysis Tim. Another eye opener, from the lows, it would take 7 consecutive 20% rallies just to break even.

Dear Bob Brinker, have you ever heard of stop losses?
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