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Strategies & Market Trends : MARKET INDEX TECHNICAL ANALYSIS - MITA

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To: Killswitch who wrote (14537)9/8/2002 9:46:14 PM
From: Killswitch  Read Replies (1) of 19219
 
Regarding the 10 day TRIN

Message 17967712

"Unique and particularly intriguing is the 10 TRIN countdown of June-July 2002. The market had never in its modern history taken more than 23 market days to reach a significant and tradable low after the 10-day TRIN average moved above 1.50. But after the June 6 reading of 1.59, the market took a full 34 market days to bottom—the longest ever. The subsequent 3-week rally was the briefest in duration between readings above 1.50. The 10-day TRIN moved back above 1.50 yet again on September 4, 2002, in month #47 of the 48 that comprise the 4-year cycle, which is due to bottom nominally in October 2002. Presumably, the market is now beginning to set itself up for the 4-year cycle low."
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