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Strategies & Market Trends : John Pitera's Market Laboratory

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To: Hawkmoon who wrote (6745)9/10/2002 11:34:08 AM
From: Louis V. Lambrecht  Read Replies (1) of 33421
 
Hawk - I am a newbie on Gold.
All I know is that you can trade options on the indexes and that the CBOE is pushing her own index (GOX).
HUI has non-hedged miners (NEM is another story) and the XAU is, AFAIK, the most followed.

Read a piece recently valuing the XAU at 7grams of gold (simply, multiply the PoG by 0.225)
At PoG 320, the XAU should price 72. Above is dear, below is cheap.

The HUI always had more complicated evaluation methods.

Usually, I stick with the XAU.

If my last decision to trade was based on the HUI, it was mainly because the move there was more obvious and I tried to enter sooner.

So far today, @73, the XAU has closed yesterday's gap open.

For the HUI, I agree with your downside risk target of 120.
100 ? IMHO, won't stop there either next time.

Let the PoG futes hover a while 317.5/324: some long specs and banks would like to take some profits before the next run.

My $0.02
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