Priority threats : Keep the focus on Afghanistan not Iraq
" Last autumn's US-led military action dispersed al-Qaida but sadly failed to destroy it. For whatever reason, Osama bin Laden has disappeared and al-Qaida has signally failed so far to mount the feared follow-up to September 11 But it has not been defanged, as shown by the actual or thwarted attacks in North Africa and Italy this year. Its support base in the Muslim world may actually have expanded as anti-American sentiment, particularly over Palestine, has grown. And its finances remain considerable."
Leader Saturday September 7, 2002 The Guardian
Hamid Karzai is a man with a lot of enemies. They include adherents of the Taliban regime he helped depose last year, fellow Pashtuns who oppose his Tajik-dominated transitional government, anti-American renegades such as former prime minister and mojahedin leader Gulbuddin Hekmatyar, and a host of other malcontents. Any one of them may have been behind the latest attempt to assassinate Mr Karzai in Kandahar and an almost simultaneous car bombing in Kabul. But most likely, as suggested by the Afghan foreign minister Abdullah Abdullah, the culprits were members of al-Qaida or its local offshoots.
This is no great surprise. Last autumn's US-led military action dispersed al-Qaida but sadly failed to destroy it. For whatever reason, Osama bin Laden has disappeared and al-Qaida has signally failed so far to mount the feared follow-up to September 11. But it has not been defanged, as shown by the actual or thwarted attacks in North Africa and Italy this year. Its support base in the Muslim world may actually have expanded as anti-American sentiment, particularly over Palestine, has grown. And its finances remain considerable.
According to a UN report, "al-Qaida is by all accounts 'fit and well' and poised to strike again at its leisure". From Europe too comes evidence that al-Qaida's comeback has commenced. In Britain, MI5 keeps silent watch over sleepers. In Germany, anti-terror chief Manfred Klink warns that "the network is fundamentally ready for action".
But the focal point of this reviving activity is to be found, as prior to September 11, along the Kabul-Karachi axis. Here in recent months al-Qaida's hand has been detected in a gradually accelerating series of direct or proxy attacks inside both Afghanistan and Pakistan. An attempt to assassinate Pakistan's leader, Pervez Musharraf, was foiled but western civilians and Christian churchgoers have not been as lucky as he and Mr Karzai.
Clearly, lest the same mistake be repeated, these stirrings along the faultlines of al-Qaida terror must be stifled before they again reach out to strike across the world. To this end, the US should spend less time abusing Iraq and far more underwriting long-term Afghan and Pakistani security and democracy. That in part means expanded multinational peacekeeping, much more aid, and an all-out attempt at nation-building in both these most unstable of states. guardian.co.uk |